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      Tim Fox

      Tim Fox

      Location
      Dubai
      Tim Fox is a partner at Capital Gate Advisors and the former chief economist at Emirates NBD

      Articles

      A trader on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. After news of Donald Trump testing positive for the coronavirus, there is increasing likelihood that market pressures will persist now that the presidential election is less than one month away. AFP
      Markets brace for turbulent times after Trump's Covid-19 diagnosis

      Absence of a vaccine, no news on a pending US fiscal stimulus and ongoing US-China friction add to the uncertainty

      MoneyOctober 04, 2020
      The US Federal Reserve said is looking to maintain zero interest rates until inflation has risen to 2 per cent and then stays moderately above that level for some time. Reuters
      Why markets shunned the Fed’s dovish stance

      The US central bank's commitment to achieving inflation goals fails to ignite market confidence

      MoneySeptember 20, 2020
      Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell announced a significant policy shift in the way the Fed targets inflation at his Jackson Hole speech a fortnight ago, moving away from a rigid 2 per cent inflation target and replacing it with a 'a flexible form of average inflation targeting'. AFP
      Federal Reserve reignites euro-dollar currency tensions

      Change to the Fed’s inflation target sets off renewed dollar weakness and triggers alarm in the eurozone

      MoneySeptember 06, 2020
      Turkey's central bank has increased mandatory reserve ratios for lenders that meet certain requirements for credit growth, but this has failed to reverse the lira’s losses. AFP
      Turkish lira needs to avoid more ‘self-inflicted’ wounds

      The central bank has been avoiding monetary policy tightening in the face of rising inflation

      MoneyAugust 23, 2020
      With money starting to exit equities and bonds offering slim returns, it comes as no surprise that other markets have moved into the limelight. AFP
      Gold seizes the limelight as equities hesitate amid mixed data

      Market concerns about corporate earnings, fresh stimulus measures, US-China relations and the US election in November may finally catch up with the bull market

      MoneyAugust 10, 2020
      In July, the EU approved a €750 billion economic stimulus plan. Bloomberg
      The US dollar is struggling to resist an improving euro

      The greenback is lagging on the back of a stalled Covid-19 stimulus plan, falling US 10-year Treasury yields and the EU budget deal

      MoneyJuly 26, 2020
      The stock exchange in Shanghai. The latest data shows that China returned to growth in the second quarter, although domestic consumption and investment remain weak. EPA
      China’s stock rally defies broader market concerns

      Global markets slide on rising US-China tensions and jump in coronavirus cases

      MoneyJuly 12, 2020
      People queue outside the Utah Department of workforce Services, in Salt Lake City. The markets should have been cautious about reading too much into May’s more encouraging US employment figures. Associated Press
      Why we are now set for a U-shaped global economic recovery

      May’s US jobs figures lifted markets, with many expecting a V-shaped turnaround, but gloomier data has changed the outlook

      MoneyJune 14, 2020
      In July, the EU approved a €750 billion economic stimulus plan. Bloomberg
      The euro rallies as the European Union addresses fiscal flaws

      The currency is now at its highest level since lockdowns began in the continent in March

      MoneyMay 31, 2020
      Among the concerns are renewed US-China trade and financial market tensions, after Donald Trump blamed China for causing the Covid-19 pandemic. Bloomberg
      The three concerns demanding market attention over the past week

      How policymakers respond to the crisis has consequences for economies and stock markets

      MoneyMay 17, 2020
      A man looks at an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei 225 index at a securities firm in Tokyo. Tim Fox says there are still plenty of reasons to remain wary of the pace and extent of recent equity market recoveries. Assoicated Press
      Markets are in better shape but they haven't priced in the warnings on what's to come

      Scientists and policymakers are urging caution, and Donald Trump's campaign against China may also be costly

      MoneyMay 03, 2020
      People walk along a quiet Wall Street past the New York Stock Exchange in New York. Despite the IMF expecting the US to contract by 5.9 per cent this year, markets have rallied in recent days. EPA
      Why the markets are defying the 'perfect storm' of negative economic data

      While the IMF anticipates a sharp contraction in global GDP this year, markets are taking a more optimistic view

      MoneyApril 19, 2020
      Traders watch monitors at KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea. Equity markets have attempted to rally as policymakers rolled out the textbook responses seen during past global crises. Associated Press
      Markets need to accept that this crisis is far from the norm

      This is a healthcare crisis first, an economic crisis second and a financial crisis third, which is why fiscal measures are having less effect

      MoneyApril 05, 2020
      A currency exchange board in London shows the tourist rates for the British pound against the US dollar and the euro on March 19. The scramble for US dollars by investors seeking liquidity was one of the key features of the markets last week. AP
      Central bank moves are gaining traction but there is still a long way to go

      Policymakers are working hard to stem the damaging effects of coronavirus on the global markets​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

      MoneyMarch 22, 2020
      Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve. The regulator delivered an emergency half-percentage point interest rate cut last week in a bid to protect the longest-ever economic expansion from the spreading coronavirus. Bloomberg
      Will central banks follow the Fed's lead and cut rates?

      The US regulator took action last week as the effects of the coronavirus on the economy became clearer

      MoneyMarch 08, 2020
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