BEIRUT // Saddam Hussein once prided himself on the formidable arsenal of Russian and French war planes he had at his disposal.
Iraq’s air force was one of the largest in the Middle East and used to devastating effect during the war against Iran in the 1980s.
Today, Iraq barely has an air force to speak of, despite the United States spending $20 billion (Dh73.5bn) since 2003 to rebuild the country’s military.
A series of delayed arms deals, the slow recovery from multiple wars, and government mismanagement means air power has been virtually absent as Baghdad struggles to dislodge militants now in control of large areas of the country’s north and west.
While the delivery of five Russian warplanes on Saturday brings badly needed firepower, analysts doubt the new aircraft can turn the tide against the insurgency led by the Islamic State and driven by Sunni anger at the government.
In total, Iraq will receive 12 Russian made Sukhoi Su-25s, designed to provide air support to troops operating on the ground. The Soviet-era, twin-engined jet is easy to fly and, despite first being introduced three decades ago, is still used by dozens of militaries, including Bashar Al Assad’s forces in Syria.
“The Russians did them [the Iraqis] a favour with these SU-25,” said Thomas Keaney, a retired US air force colonel and associate director of strategic studies at the School of Advanced International Studies in Washington.
“It’s low-tech, relatively easy to fly, very forgiving and it’s mainly designed to be slow to provide close air support.”
Before the first Gulf War, Saddam’s air force included dozens of SU-25s amid a large fleet of mostly-ageing fast jets.
The air force was devastated by the US and its allies when the war started in 1991. More than 100 jets were flown to Iran by Iraqi pilots fleeing the bombardment where they were impounded and remain to this day.
Iraq’s air force never recovered. It remains devoid of aircraft and the country has a shortage of trained pilots.
It has only three fixed-wing attack aircraft and four attack helicopters, according to Global Firepower, an online military database. Since militants started to take control of sections of Anbar province earlier this year, the Iraqi military has used training aircraft, Cessna turboprop planes converted to carry US-made hellfire missiles, and a small number of largely Russian helicopters to attack the insurgents.
“After years of counterinsurgency effort by the US, the Iraqi air force didn’t have itself a ground attack capability,” said Yezid Sayigh, a senior associate at the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut.
He questioned the expensive arms deals that Iraq’s government had entered into with the US and Russia since 2008.
These include a $4.2bn deal for 36 F-16 US-made fighter jets as well as a $4.3bn deal for 44 Russian-made military helicopters.
The latter was signed in 2012 but its initial implementation was reportedly halted by Iraq because of internal corruption concerns.
“The Iraqi air force has not necessarily been buying what it needs most,” said Mr Sayigh, adding that Iraqi corruption is suspected of driving those deals.
Christopher Harmer, a former US naval aviator and Middle East military analyst at the Institute for the Study of War, said too little was done to arm Iraq’s air force when the US withdrew in December 2011, eight years after toppling Saddam.
“We left Iraq when the Iraqis didn’t have a functional air force,” he said.
The US should have expedited the delivery of F-16s fighter jets to Baghdad years ago, he said. The planes are now only expected to arrive in September.
Mr Harmer expressed concerns that the delay gave US competitors, Russia and especially Iran, ample opportunity to increase their influence over Iraq by jumping to its aid.
“This has opened the door to Iranians to make huge inroads with the Iraqi government,” Mr Harmer said.
Others blame Mr Al Maliki for the delays in the delivery of the F-16 fighter jets. After coming to an agreement with the manufacturer, Lockheed Martin Corp, in 2011, the Iraqi premier temporarily backtracked and demanded that Washington foot the bill, said Rick Brennan, a political analyst at the Rand Corporation and former adviser to the US military in Iraq.
“The delay is primarily a response of the government of Iraq dragging its feet and being unwilling to pay for the number of jets it wanted to have,” said Rick Brennan, a political scientist at the Rand Corporation and former adviser to the US military in Iraq.
Since the US withdrawal of tens of thousands of its troops in 2011, Mr Al Maliki was able to insert loyalists, many of them his fellow Shiites, into top positions within the military at the expense of more qualified officers, he said.
Iraq is now scrambling to put together a fleet of aircraft which may help in the battle against the Islamic State, which until earlier this week called themselves the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant. The government has even started negotiations with Iran to return the jets that were flown there in 1991.
Whatever the state of the air force, the grievances of Iraq’s Sunni minority meant any aerial assault would be seen as a sectarian attack by Mr Al Maliki, said Elias Hanna, a retired general in the Lebanese military now working at the American University of Beirut.
“You’re not talking about a conventional military solution here,” he said.
Mr Hanna added that there were also fears of new military hardware falling into the hands of the militants.
Western arms suppliers would likely think twice about selling weapon systems to a government that had already lost US-made Humvees and other armaments to the Islamic State, an Al Qaeda-splinter group.
hnaylor@thenational.ae
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Almnssa
Started: August 2020
Founder: Areej Selmi
Based: Gaza
Sectors: Internet, e-commerce
Investments: Grants/private funding
Saturday's schedule at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
GP3 race, 12:30pm
Formula 1 final practice, 2pm
Formula 1 qualifying, 5pm
Formula 2 race, 6:40pm
Performance: Sam Smith
The specs
Engine: 1.5-litre turbo
Power: 181hp
Torque: 230Nm
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Starting price: Dh79,000
On sale: Now
The specs
Engine: 1.5-litre 4-cylinder petrol
Power: 154bhp
Torque: 250Nm
Transmission: 7-speed automatic with 8-speed sports option
Price: From Dh79,600
On sale: Now
Nayanthara: Beyond The Fairy Tale
Starring: Nayanthara, Vignesh Shivan, Radhika Sarathkumar, Nagarjuna Akkineni
Director: Amith Krishnan
Rating: 3.5/5
Disclaimer
Director: Alfonso Cuaron
Stars: Cate Blanchett, Kevin Kline, Lesley Manville
Rating: 4/5
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Results
6.30pm: Maiden Dh165,000 (Dirt) 1,200m
Winner: Barack Beach, Richard Mullen (jockey), Satish Seemar (trainer).
7.05pm: Handicap Dh170,000 (D) 1,200m
Winner: Way Of Wisdom, Connor Beasley, Satish Seemar.
7.40pm: Maiden Dh165,000 (D) 1,900m
Winner: Woodditton, Connor Beasley, Ahmad bin Harmash.
8.15pm: Handicap Dh185,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: Secret Trade, Sandro Paiva, Ali Rashid Al Raihe.
8.50pm: Handicap Dh185,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Mark Of Approval, Antonio Fresu, Mahmood Hussain.
9.25pm: Handicap Dh165,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: Tradesman, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watson.
How to watch Ireland v Pakistan in UAE
When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
What time: Each day’s play is scheduled to start at 2pm UAE time.
TV: The match will be broadcast on OSN Sports Cricket HD. Subscribers to the channel can also stream the action live on OSN Play.
How to play the stock market recovery in 2021?
If you are looking to build your long-term wealth in 2021 and beyond, the stock market is still the best place to do it as equities powered on despite the pandemic.
Investing in individual stocks is not for everyone and most private investors should stick to mutual funds and ETFs, but there are some thrilling opportunities for those who understand the risks.
Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, says the 20 best-performing US and European stocks have delivered an average return year-to-date of 148 per cent, measured in local currency terms.
Online marketplace Etsy was the best performer with a return of 330.6 per cent, followed by communications software company Sinch (315.4 per cent), online supermarket HelloFresh (232.8 per cent) and fuel cells specialist NEL (191.7 per cent).
Mr Garnry says digital companies benefited from the lockdown, while green energy firms flew as efforts to combat climate change were ramped up, helped in part by the European Union’s green deal.
Electric car company Tesla would be on the list if it had been part of the S&P 500 Index, but it only joined on December 21. “Tesla has become one of the most valuable companies in the world this year as demand for electric vehicles has grown dramatically,” Mr Garnry says.
By contrast, the 20 worst-performing European stocks fell 54 per cent on average, with European banks hit by the economic fallout from the pandemic, while cruise liners and airline stocks suffered due to travel restrictions.
As demand for energy fell, the oil and gas industry had a tough year, too.
Mr Garnry says the biggest story this year was the “absolute crunch” in so-called value stocks, companies that trade at low valuations compared to their earnings and growth potential.
He says they are “heavily tilted towards financials, miners, energy, utilities and industrials, which have all been hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic”. “The last year saw these cheap stocks become cheaper and expensive stocks have become more expensive.”
This has triggered excited talk about the “great value rotation” but Mr Garnry remains sceptical. “We need to see a breakout of interest rates combined with higher inflation before we join the crowd.”
Always remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Last year’s winners often turn out to be this year’s losers, and vice-versa.
In numbers: China in Dubai
The number of Chinese people living in Dubai: An estimated 200,000
Number of Chinese people in International City: Almost 50,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2018/19: 120,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2010: 20,000
Percentage increase in visitors in eight years: 500 per cent
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Qyubic
Started: October 2023
Founder: Namrata Raina
Based: Dubai
Sector: E-commerce
Current number of staff: 10
Investment stage: Pre-seed
Initial investment: Undisclosed
SPECS%3A%20Polestar%203
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Electoral College Victory
Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate.
Popular Vote Tally
The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
Started: 2020
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment
Number of staff: 210
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
The specs
Engine: 77.4kW all-wheel-drive dual motor
Power: 320bhp
Torque: 605Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh219,000
On sale: Now
Cricket World Cup League 2
UAE squad
Rahul Chopra (captain), Aayan Afzal Khan, Ali Naseer, Aryansh Sharma, Basil Hameed, Dhruv Parashar, Junaid Siddique, Muhammad Farooq, Muhammad Jawadullah, Muhammad Waseem, Omid Rahman, Rahul Bhatia, Tanish Suri, Vishnu Sukumaran, Vriitya Aravind
Fixtures
Friday, November 1 – Oman v UAE
Sunday, November 3 – UAE v Netherlands
Thursday, November 7 – UAE v Oman
Saturday, November 9 – Netherlands v UAE
The lowdown
Bohemian Rhapsody
Director: Bryan Singer
Starring: Rami Malek, Lucy Boynton, Gwilym Lee
Rating: 3/5
Company%20Profile
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The 10 Questions
- Is there a God?
- How did it all begin?
- What is inside a black hole?
- Can we predict the future?
- Is time travel possible?
- Will we survive on Earth?
- Is there other intelligent life in the universe?
- Should we colonise space?
- Will artificial intelligence outsmart us?
- How do we shape the future?