RABAT // One evening last month, Pierre Camette, a French botanist, returned to his hotel in Menaka, Mali, where he cultivates a plant used to fight malaria, and has not been heard from since.
Last week, Algerian militants linked to al Qa'eda claimed in a statement broadcast on Al Jazeera to be holding Mr Camette, as well as three Spanish aid workers abducted at gunpoint last month in Mauritania.
The kidnappings are the latest show of force by al Qa'eda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), which is rapidly developing a taste for snatching westerners. This poses a dilemma for governments faced with the option of ransoming their citizens, a practice that Algeria and the United States say is increasingly helping fund terrorism in the region and are struggling to discourage. The statement did not detail AQIM's demands, but said these would be conveyed soon to the Spanish and French governments.
Formerly the Salafist Group for Call and Combat, AQIM arose amid the civil war in Algeria that killed more than 150,000 during the 1990s. The group seeks to establish an Islamic state and continues to stage bomb attacks, mainly on government forces east of the capital, Algiers.
While Algerian forces have squeezed AQIM in the north, the group's Saharan bands have gained strength, today forming a southern wing that analysts say serves chiefly to secure funding.
In 2003, AQIM burst into headlines by kidnapping 32 mainly German tourists in southern Algeria. One captive died of heat exhaustion and some were rescued by Algerian police, but others were purportedly traded for around US$6 million (Dh22m) from the German government.
"That set up the model," said Jon Marks, a North Africa analyst and the head of Cross-Border Intelligence, a British risk assessment firm. Since then, "the money from ransoms has helped gangs that are partly criminal and partly Islamist to come together in this peculiar Saharan underground".
The kidnappings' alleged mastermind, an Algerian former paratrooper named Amari Saifi and known as "El Para", was reportedly arrested in Chad and turned over to Algerian authorities.
Nevertheless, AQIM has spread in the Sahel, a lawless strip of plains and scrub along the Sahara's southern border.
Analysts say the group is probably as involved in smuggling as in ideologically driven militancy. It is believed to be dominated by Mokhtar Belmokhtar, a mysterious figure periodically reported killed or captured only to reappear again in Algerian press reports.
"There's a huge amount of claim and counterclaim," said Mr Marks. "And if you look at some of the individuals involved, the story never quite adds up."
What is clear is AQIM's accelerated militancy in the Sahel after pledging allegiance to al Qa'eda in 2006 and adopting its current name in January 2007.
The group has since claimed responsibility for gunning down four French tourists in Mauritania, shooting dead an American teacher and attacking the French and Israeli embassies in Nouakchott, Mauritania's capital, and beheading 12 Mauritanian soldiers near the mining town of Zouerate.
Meanwhile, AQIM has turned the abduction of westerners into a lucrative business, analysts said. While governments routinely deny paying ransoms, somewhere money is changing hands.
"Around 80 per cent of their funding comes from ransoms," said Salima Tlemcani, an AQIM expert with Algeria's El Watan, a leading independent newspaper. Cash payments leave the Sahara in the form of weapons and telecommunications gear for the group's northern wing, she said.
Last year, AQIM swapped two Austrian tourists snatched in Tunisia for a ransom of up to $6.4m. This year, the group received a reported 5m euros (Dh26m) for the release of two Canadian diplomats seized in Niger, and is believed to have scored big with the abduction of four European tourists in the country.
Two Swiss and a German were freed. But Edwin Dyer, an Englishman, was beheaded in May after Britain refused to release Abu Qatada, a Jordanian al Qa'eda leader. It is believed that AQIM also wanted a ransom, which Britain opposes as a matter of policy.
Algeria wants other countries to follow suit, arguing that ransoms undermine counter-terrorism efforts by funding AQIM and encouraging kidnapping.
In July, Algerian diplomats pushed that message at a Non-Aligned Movement summit in Egypt, and president Abdelaziz Bouteflika emphasised it while addressing the United Nations General Assembly in September. Algeria plans to submit a draft resolution to the UN Security Council banning ransoms to terrorist groups.
While genuine, Algeria's position also helps it cosy up to the US, said Mr Marks. Algerian leaders "may disagree with western policy on other issues, but on this one they'd like common cause".
The US opposes all negotiations with terrorist groups, a policy the administration of President Barack Obama wants to promote internationally.
"This administration plans to make broader acceptance of the no-concessions approach an important initiative," said Daniel Benjamin, the US state department's counter-terrorism chief, addressing a senate foreign relations subcommittee last month. "We have seen that, over time, kidnappers lose interest in nationals of countries that adhere to such a policy."
Bayes Ag Mohamed, the mayor of Menaka, Mali, where Mr Camette was kidnapped, agrees, reported Agence France-Presse. A ransom, he said, would "only encourage people to kidnap peaceful citizens".
jthorne@thenational.ae
Singham Again
Director: Rohit Shetty
Stars: Ajay Devgn, Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ranveer Singh, Akshay Kumar, Tiger Shroff, Deepika Padukone
Rating: 3/5
SPECS
Engine: 4-litre V8 twin-turbo
Power: 630hp
Torque: 850Nm
Transmission: 8-speed Tiptronic automatic
Price: From Dh599,000
On sale: Now
How Tesla’s price correction has hit fund managers
Investing in disruptive technology can be a bumpy ride, as investors in Tesla were reminded on Friday, when its stock dropped 7.5 per cent in early trading to $575.
It recovered slightly but still ended the week 15 per cent lower and is down a third from its all-time high of $883 on January 26. The electric car maker’s market cap fell from $834 billion to about $567bn in that time, a drop of an astonishing $267bn, and a blow for those who bought Tesla stock late.
The collapse also hit fund managers that have gone big on Tesla, notably the UK-based Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF.
Tesla is the top holding in both funds, making up a hefty 10 per cent of total assets under management. Both funds have fallen by a quarter in the past month.
Matt Weller, global head of market research at GAIN Capital, recently warned that Tesla founder Elon Musk had “flown a bit too close to the sun”, after getting carried away by investing $1.5bn of the company’s money in Bitcoin.
He also predicted Tesla’s sales could struggle as traditional auto manufacturers ramp up electric car production, destroying its first mover advantage.
AJ Bell’s Russ Mould warns that many investors buy tech stocks when earnings forecasts are rising, almost regardless of valuation. “When it works, it really works. But when it goes wrong, elevated valuations leave little or no downside protection.”
A Tesla correction was probably baked in after last year’s astonishing share price surge, and many investors will see this as an opportunity to load up at a reduced price.
Dramatic swings are to be expected when investing in disruptive technology, as Ms Wood at ARK makes clear.
Every week, she sends subscribers a commentary listing “stocks in our strategies that have appreciated or dropped more than 15 per cent in a day” during the week.
Her latest commentary, issued on Friday, showed seven stocks displaying extreme volatility, led by ExOne, a leader in binder jetting 3D printing technology. It jumped 24 per cent, boosted by news that fellow 3D printing specialist Stratasys had beaten fourth-quarter revenues and earnings expectations, seen as good news for the sector.
By contrast, computational drug and material discovery company Schrödinger fell 27 per cent after quarterly and full-year results showed its core software sales and drug development pipeline slowing.
Despite that setback, Ms Wood remains positive, arguing that its “medicinal chemistry platform offers a powerful and unique view into chemical space”.
In her weekly video view, she remains bullish, stating that: “We are on the right side of change, and disruptive innovation is going to deliver exponential growth trajectories for many of our companies, in fact, most of them.”
Ms Wood remains committed to Tesla as she expects global electric car sales to compound at an average annual rate of 82 per cent for the next five years.
She said these are so “enormous that some people find them unbelievable”, and argues that this scepticism, especially among institutional investors, “festers” and creates a great opportunity for ARK.
Only you can decide whether you are a believer or a festering sceptic. If it’s the former, then buckle up.
Student Of The Year 2
Director: Punit Malhotra
Stars: Tiger Shroff, Tara Sutaria, Ananya Pandey, Aditya Seal
1.5 stars
If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.
How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
Citadel: Honey Bunny first episode
Directors: Raj & DK
Stars: Varun Dhawan, Samantha Ruth Prabhu, Kashvi Majmundar, Kay Kay Menon
Rating: 4/5
The specs
Engine: 77.4kW all-wheel-drive dual motor
Power: 320bhp
Torque: 605Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh219,000
On sale: Now
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The biog
First Job: Abu Dhabi Department of Petroleum in 1974
Current role: Chairperson of Al Maskari Holding since 2008
Career high: Regularly cited on Forbes list of 100 most powerful Arab Businesswomen
Achievement: Helped establish Al Maskari Medical Centre in 1969 in Abu Dhabi’s Western Region
Future plan: Will now concentrate on her charitable work
The biog
Age: 35
Inspiration: Wife and kids
Favourite book: Changes all the time but my new favourite is Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
Best Travel Destination: Bora Bora , French Polynesia
Favourite run: Jabel Hafeet, I also enjoy running the 30km loop in Al Wathba cycling track