Alarm raised over fourth straight quarterly loss for GGICO



Gulf General Investment Company (GGICO) has recorded its fourth consecutive quarterly loss, prompting its auditors to warn about the urgency of adopting a debt-rescheduling plan.

Auditors pointed to significant difficulties for GGICO, a conglomerate listed in Dubai with interests in property and manufacturing.

The company swung to a loss of Dh146 million (US$39.7m) for the third quarter, down from a profit of Dh48.8m during the same period last year.

A six-year property boom and rapidly rising stock markets encouraged many Gulf investment groups to invest heavily in off-plan property developments that have since soured. Now many of them have been forced to restructure their debts with creditors at a time when banks are under pressure to contain lending and limit their risk exposure. GGICO reported losses on investments totalling Dh59.8m and write-downs of Dh33.9m on payments due from customers.

But the company's ability to do business may hinge upon its ability to negotiate a way out of its debt problems, accountants from Deloitte wrote in their audit report.

"The ability of the group to continue as a going concern is dependent on rescheduling the terms of obligations with the lenders … continued support from shareholders and future profitability, which is dependent on adoption and implementation of a restructuring plan currently in discussions," the report said.

GGICO's shares have fallen 56.5 per cent since the start of the year to 22.4 fils each.

At the end of September, the company had defaulted on Dh568m of bank loans. It has appointed HSBC Middle East to oversee its restructuring efforts.

"The company's restructuring of the debt due to the banks is in advanced progress and [is in the] documentation stage," said the company. GGICO could not be reached for comment on the auditors' report.

The auditors also warned that GGICO had not put aside funds to cover any losses from "doubtful debts" arising from Dh494m of receivables from sales of development properties. The debts were unlikely to be recovered because of "the nature of records maintained", the auditors wrote. Fitch Ratings withdrew its ratings on GGICO in 2009. Moody's Investors Service also withdrew its coverage in March.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”


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