Myanmar’s de facto leader, Aung San Suu Kyi, is seeking to carefully balance relations with major powers as part of her commitment to revive the country’s tradition of pursuing a neutral foreign policy. Ms Suu Kyi’s visit to India last week followed trips to Beijing and Washington.
Myanmar’s geographic, cultural and geostrategic position between India and China makes it critical to the long-term interests of these powers.
Crippling United States-led sanctions since the late 1980s pushed resource-rich Myanmar into China’s strategic lap. During his 2010 Indian tour, US president Barack Obama criticised India’s policy of constructive engagement with Myanmar, only to return home and pursue, within months, a virtually similar policy. The shift in US policy helped spur Myanmar’s reform process, ending half a century of military rule.
When, in August, Ms Suu Kyi paid her first visit to a major capital almost five months after her National League for Democracy (NLD) party came to power, she visited Beijing – not New Delhi, where she was educated..
Her aim was to smooth over the relationship frayed by Myanmar’s 2011 suspension of the $3.6 billion (Dh13.2bn) Chinese-financed Myitsone Dam project. The suspension on the eve of China’s national day constituted a loss of face for Beijing made worse by the fact that the action became a turning point for Myanmar’s democratisation and reintegration with the world.
The bold move demonstrated to Washington that Myanmar was no client state of China and helped both change US policy and accelerate Myanmar’s own transition to democracy. It set in motion an easing of western sanctions that ended Myanmar’s international isolation, best symbolised by Mr Obama’s visit in 2012.
With the rise of a democratic Myanmar that is being wooed by all powers and international investors, China can no longer push its strategic and resource interests by brushing aside questions about the environmental and human costs of its mining and other projects there.
But with China still wielding more leverage over Myanmar than any other power, president Xi Jinping is pushing for the Myitsone project’s revival. To deflect Chinese pressure, Ms Suu Kyi, before visiting Beijing, appointed a 20-member commission to review Myitsone and other dam projects on the Irrawaddy river, the country’s lifeline.
After her China trip, Ms Suu Kyi visited Washington, where she was warmly received at the White House on September 14. But it was only on October 7 – about 11 months after the NLD won a landslide election victory – that Mr Obama lifted economic sanctions on Myanmar while retaining military sanctions.
Ms Suu Kyi, accompanied by key ministers, travelled to India this month to attend a weekend multinational summit in Goa. India had invited member states of the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation for a joint summit with the five Brics nations – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.
At the meeting, Ms Suu Kyi met Mr Xi again, as well as Russian president Vladimir Putin. From Goa, she went to New Delhi for meetings with prime minister Narendra Modi and other top Indian officials.
Myanmar is India’s gateway to the east. It was at the India-Asean summit in Myanmar’s capital Naypyidaw in late 2014 that Mr Modi launched India’s US-backed “Act East” policy.
When Ms Suu Kyi was in opposition, India supported her democracy movement and sheltered many Myanmar refugees and dissidents, despite engaging with Myanmar’s military government in a carefully calibrated manner to promote political reconciliation and to stem China’s growing clout.
A key challenge for both Myanmar and India is to manage a difficult and complex relationship with China. Just as India’s northern neighbour historically was Tibet, not China, Myanmar’s neighbour for much of its early history was the independent kingdom of Yunnan, with Tibet also sharing a border with Myanmar until 1950.
Myanmar, like India, has long complained about the flow of Chinese arms to guerrilla groups, accusing Beijing of backing several of them. Still, recognising that Beijing holds the keys to ending decades of armed conflict in Myanmar, Ms Suu Kyi has given China an important role in her initiative to promote ethnic reconciliation. Despite China playing mediator, a Suu Kyi-sponsored peacemaking gathering attended by ethnic warlords in Naypyidaw ended in early September without any headway.
China values Myanmar as a strategic asset, viewing its long shoreline as a gateway to the Indian Ocean, where it is seeking to chip away at India’s natural geographic advantage. Having established a foothold in Myanmar’s Bay of Bengal port of Kyaukpyu, from where new energy pipelines lead to southern China, Beijing is now seeking to open a shorter, cheaper trade route to Europe via the Irrawaddy, which flows south from near the Chinese border to the Andaman Sea.
Against this backdrop, India can ill afford to neglect Myanmar or persist with its sluggish implementation of projects there. From Myanmar’s perspective, cooperation with all major powers will advance its interests.
Brahma Chellaney is the author of nine books, including Water, Peace, and War
Confirmed%20bouts%20(more%20to%20be%20added)
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MATCH INFO
World Cup qualifier
Thailand 2 (Dangda 26', Panya 51')
UAE 1 (Mabkhout 45 2')
How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
SPEC%20SHEET%3A%20SAMSUNG%20GALAXY%20S24%20ULTRA
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How to help
Send “thenational” to the following numbers or call the hotline on: 0502955999
2289 – Dh10
2252 – Dh 50
6025 – Dh20
6027 – Dh 100
6026 – Dh 200
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Fixtures
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Coming 2 America
Directed by: Craig Brewer
Starring: Eddie Murphy, Arsenio Hall, Jermaine Fowler, Leslie Jones
3/5 stars
THE%20SPECS
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RESULT
Argentina 0 Croatia 3
Croatia: Rebic (53'), Modric (80'), Rakitic (90' 1)
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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TOURNAMENT INFO
Women’s World Twenty20 Qualifier
Jul 3- 14, in the Netherlands
The top two teams will qualify to play at the World T20 in the West Indies in November
UAE squad
Humaira Tasneem (captain), Chamani Seneviratne, Subha Srinivasan, Neha Sharma, Kavisha Kumari, Judit Cleetus, Chaya Mughal, Roopa Nagraj, Heena Hotchandani, Namita D’Souza, Ishani Senevirathne, Esha Oza, Nisha Ali, Udeni Kuruppuarachchi
Israel Palestine on Swedish TV 1958-1989
Director: Goran Hugo Olsson
Rating: 5/5
UAE-based players
Goodlands Riders: Jamshaid Butt, Ali Abid, JD Mahesh, Vibhor Shahi, Faizan Asif, Nadeem Rahim
Rose Hill Warriors: Faraz Sheikh, Ashok Kumar, Thabreez Ali, Janaka Chathuranga, Muzammil Afridi, Ameer Hamza
TRAP
Starring: Josh Hartnett, Saleka Shyamalan, Ariel Donaghue
Director: M Night Shyamalan
Rating: 3/5
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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World ranking (at month’s end)
Jan - 257
Feb - 198
Mar - 159
Apr - 161
May - 159
Jun – 162
Currently: 88
Year-end rank since turning pro
2016 - 279
2015 - 185
2014 - 143
2013 - 63
2012 - 384
2011 - 883
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BORDERLANDS
Starring: Cate Blanchett, Kevin Hart, Jamie Lee Curtis
Director: Eli Roth
Rating: 0/5
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Federer's 11 Wimbledon finals
2003 Beat Mark Philippoussis
2004 Beat Andy Roddick
2005 Beat Andy Roddick
2006 Beat Rafael Nadal
2007 Beat Rafael Nadal
2008 Lost to Rafael Nadal
2009 Beat Andy Roddick
2012 Beat Andy Murray
2014 Lost to Novak Djokovic
2015 Lost to Novak Djokovic
2017 Beat Marin Cilic
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More Expo 2020 Dubai pavilions:
Blackpink World Tour [Born Pink] In Cinemas
Starring: Rose, Jisoo, Jennie, Lisa
Directors: Min Geun, Oh Yoon-Dong
Rating: 3/5
SHADOWS%20AND%20LIGHT%3A%20THE%20EXTRAORDINARY%20LIFE%20OF%20JAMES%20MCBEY
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As it stands in Pool A
1. Japan - Played 3, Won 3, Points 14
2. Ireland - Played 3, Won 2, Lost 1, Points 11
3. Scotland - Played 2, Won 1, Lost 1, Points 5
Remaining fixtures
Scotland v Russia – Wednesday, 11.15am
Ireland v Samoa – Saturday, 2.45pm
Japan v Scotland – Sunday, 2.45pm
The%20Specs
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