There has been a tendency to interpret Turkey's election result through the blow it dealt to Recep Tayyip Erdogan. In analysis after analysis we have read that the electorate blocked Mr Erdogan's ambitions to transfer executive power to his office.
There is no doubt that the result serves to check his ambitions. The AKP’s loss of its parliamentary majority is a big change. And yet, this narrative is often overstated.
There is another tendency to portray Mr Erdogan’s “defeat” as a victory for the 2013 Gezi Park anti-government protesters. This certainly feels correct, although I suspect this view obscures something more complicated.
The party closest to the Gezi Park protests was the Republican People’s Party (CHP). Despite appropriating Gezi motifs and even the pictures of the victims who died during the protests for its campaign material, the CHP demonstrated, once again, it is a stalled party.
The “Gezi spirit” was most enthusiastically expressed through the People’s Democratic Party (HDP), whose entry into parliament guaranteed the AKP’s minority position. How this shift of the Gezi spirit from the CHP to the HDP happened deserves deeper analysis. Still, the Gezi “effect” remained somewhat small.
Two key movements within the electorate had a much greater impact. One-time AKP supporters turned to the National Action Party (MHP), angry at the government’s negotiations with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). And one-time AKP-voting Kurds turned to the HDP because of Mr Erdogan’s ambivalent Kurdish policy. Emphasising Mr Erdogan’s defeat and Gezi reinforces a narrative that the new power-seekers themselves have adopted.
CHP leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu has claimed the election result represents a 60 per cent block of the electorate unified in its opposition to the government. Though technically true, and rhetorically useful, such statements are, in the end, mythmaking. The CHP is seeking to leverage its second place, 25 per cent election return by claiming to speak for three-fifths of the electorate. Partly, this is a trial balloon to test if there is any real grounds for meaningful cooperation among the CHP, MHP and HDP.
Partly, this is a bargaining tactic. As the CHP negotiates to form a coalition with the AKP, the CHP wants to put the maximum amount of pressure on the AKP in order to gain as many as concessions as it can. It seems everyone wants some form of a coalition, rather than a return to the polls. Except, perhaps, Mr Erdogan.
Turkey has been in an election cycle since the lead-up to local elections in March 2014, through presidential elections in August 2014, and few have any desire to prolong what has been a period of extraordinary tension.
All three opposition parties (that is, the potential coalition partners) have indicated a basic condition of joining a coalition that Mr Erdogan step back within the president’s constitutionally-defined, “above politics” role. Perhaps not surprisingly, the AKP probably wants this as well. Prime minister Ahmet Davutoglu openly declared the election results meant the end of the prospect of an “executive presidency”.
They also want a set of corruption cases against close affiliates of Mr Erdogan to be reopened. This is less a principled stand and more the use of a key pressure point with which to hold him down.
Reducing Mr Erdogan’s power and pursuing justice in corruption cases are lending a very principled aura to Turkey’s opposition, well in line with rhetoric promising a “restoration” in the country.
But fundamentally this is a contest for power and the opposition’s struggle to get a foothold within the state machinery. The final form of a coalition or, failing that, early elections, will reflect the distribution of power possible given the current conditions, not the falling action of the morality play we are being encouraged to perceive.
Caleb Lauer is a freelance journalist who covers Turkey
BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE
Starring: Winona Ryder, Michael Keaton, Jenny Ortega
Director: Tim Burton
Rating: 3/5
THE BIO
Family: I have three siblings, one older brother (age 25) and two younger sisters, 20 and 13
Favourite book: Asking for my favourite book has to be one of the hardest questions. However a current favourite would be Sidewalk by Mitchell Duneier
Favourite place to travel to: Any walkable city. I also love nature and wildlife
What do you love eating or cooking: I’m constantly in the kitchen. Ever since I changed the way I eat I enjoy choosing and creating what goes into my body. However, nothing can top home cooked food from my parents.
Favorite place to go in the UAE: A quiet beach.
Greatest of All Time
Starring: Vijay, Sneha, Prashanth, Prabhu Deva, Mohan
Sholto Byrnes on Myanmar politics
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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LIST OF INVITEES
Shergo Kurdi (am)
Rayhan Thomas
Saud Al Sharee (am)
Min Woo Lee
Todd Clements
Matthew Jordan
AbdulRahman Al Mansour (am)
Matteo Manassero
Alfie Plant
Othman Al Mulla
Shaun Norris
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
Price, base / as tested: Dh182,178
Engine: 3.7-litre V6
Power: 350hp @ 7,400rpm
Torque: 374Nm @ 5,200rpm
Transmission: Seven-speed automatic
Fuel consumption, combined: 10.5L / 100km
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The Penguin
Starring: Colin Farrell, Cristin Milioti, Rhenzy Feliz
Creator: Lauren LeFranc
Rating: 4/5
COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
Company%20Profile
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The Perfect Couple
Starring: Nicole Kidman, Liev Schreiber, Jack Reynor
Creator: Jenna Lamia
Rating: 3/5
What is Diwali?
The Hindu festival is at once a celebration of the autumn harvest and the triumph of good over evil, as outlined in the Ramayana.
According to the Sanskrit epic, penned by the sage Valmiki, Diwali marks the time that the exiled king Rama – a mortal with superhuman powers – returned home to the city of Ayodhya with his wife Sita and brother Lakshman, after vanquishing the 10-headed demon Ravana and conquering his kingdom of Lanka. The people of Ayodhya are believed to have lit thousands of earthen lamps to illuminate the city and to guide the royal family home.
In its current iteration, Diwali is celebrated with a puja to welcome the goodness of prosperity Lakshmi (an incarnation of Sita) into the home, which is decorated with diyas (oil lamps) or fairy lights and rangoli designs with coloured powder. Fireworks light up the sky in some parts of the word, and sweetmeats are made (or bought) by most households. It is customary to get new clothes stitched, and visit friends and family to exchange gifts and greetings.
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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THE%20FLASH
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Andy%20Muschietti%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Sasha%20Calle%2C%20Ben%20Affleck%2C%20Ezra%20Miller%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E3%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
THE SPECS
Engine: Four-cylinder 2.5-litre
Transmission: Seven-speed auto
Power: 165hp
Torque: 241Nm
Price: Dh99,900 to Dh134,000
On sale: now
Company Profile
Name: JustClean
Based: Kuwait with offices in other GCC countries
Launch year: 2016
Number of employees: 130
Sector: online laundry service
Funding: $12.9m from Kuwait-based Faith Capital Holding
Inside%20Out%202
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%C2%A0%3C%2Fstrong%3EKelsey%20Mann%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%C2%A0Amy%20Poehler%2C%20Maya%20Hawke%2C%20Ayo%20Edebiri%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E4.5%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
UAE v Gibraltar
What: International friendly
When: 7pm kick off
Where: Rugby Park, Dubai Sports City
Admission: Free
Online: The match will be broadcast live on Dubai Exiles’ Facebook page
UAE squad: Lucas Waddington (Dubai Exiles), Gio Fourie (Exiles), Craig Nutt (Abu Dhabi Harlequins), Phil Brady (Harlequins), Daniel Perry (Dubai Hurricanes), Esekaia Dranibota (Harlequins), Matt Mills (Exiles), Jaen Botes (Exiles), Kristian Stinson (Exiles), Murray Reason (Abu Dhabi Saracens), Dave Knight (Hurricanes), Ross Samson (Jebel Ali Dragons), DuRandt Gerber (Exiles), Saki Naisau (Dragons), Andrew Powell (Hurricanes), Emosi Vacanau (Harlequins), Niko Volavola (Dragons), Matt Richards (Dragons), Luke Stevenson (Harlequins), Josh Ives (Dubai Sports City Eagles), Sean Stevens (Saracens), Thinus Steyn (Exiles)
The schedule
December 5 - 23: Shooting competition, Al Dhafra Shooting Club
December 9 - 24: Handicrafts competition, from 4pm until 10pm, Heritage Souq
December 11 - 20: Dates competition, from 4pm
December 12 - 20: Sour milk competition
December 13: Falcon beauty competition
December 14 and 20: Saluki races
December 15: Arabian horse races, from 4pm
December 16 - 19: Falconry competition
December 18: Camel milk competition, from 7.30 - 9.30 am
December 20 and 21: Sheep beauty competition, from 10am
December 22: The best herd of 30 camels