The countdown is on, in Britain at least, until Friday. That is when prime minister David Cameron will arrive back in the United Kingdom to present to cabinet the concessions he has wrested from the European Union. He is then expected to formally announce the referendum on British membership in the EU for which he will lead the stay- in campaign.
But will he have overcome a last minute hurdle over whether the children of eastern European migrants working in Britain should receive full benefits, even when they live in their home countries? Will he have secured a deal good enough to ensure that his Eurosceptic allies, such as justice secretary Michael Gove, and frenemies like the London mayor, Boris Johnson, help him sell his case to a dubious Conservative Party?
It is being billed as the vote that will define Britain’s relationship with Europe for at least a generation. But it is obvious that whatever understanding Mr Cameron reaches, the details will be too paltry to satisfy those who want real change. They will vote for Brexit anyway.
At the same time, critics of the case to exit are justified in saying that their opponents have been calling for a referendum for decades, yet they still haven’t managed to come up with a detailed, specific post-EU scenario. It is unclear what the British horizon would look like once the English Channel truly marked a boundary with the continent again.
But the concessions being sought are, in any case, the wrong ones. The referendum seems destined to be fought on the right of national governments to be as miserly as possible to people of other nationalities, and to slam the door in the faces of non-EU citizens. These are narrow and unworthy grounds on which to hold a vote that could have such big consequences.
The referendum should, instead, be about sovereignty, and about the grievous lack of democratic accountability in the EU – a state of affairs that its unelected elites show no sign of wishing to tackle, even in the face of all the challenges that ought to show that the whole project, from top to bottom, needs rethinking.
A referendum on reform, in which a vote to remain would be conditional on wholesale restructuring, would not only be worthwhile, it would be possibly the only way to reach a settlement under which all parties could view membership positively.
At the moment, the best case that can be made for the EU is that it is imperfect, but it is better to be a part of it than not. This less-than-ringing endorsement implies that change is necessary, but somehow it never comes. No one would seek to create from scratch a compromise that hardly anyone was truly happy with. So why continue to accept it today?
It is not as though there is any shortage of reforms that could swiftly transform the EU into being a far more efficient, accountable and democratic institution. For starters, the EU parliament should stop alternating its sittings between Brussels and Strasbourg – a practice that has become symbolic of waste and bureaucracy.
Next, the salaries, expenses and allowances of EU officials should be slashed. In an age of austerity, the Brussels gravy train is indefensible. Why should the EU high representative for foreign affairs, for instance, be paid more than the German chancellor or the US secretary of state – both of whom have considerably more influence and, frankly, work to do?
Those who believe in the idea of Europe are welcome to do so for normal levels of pay and out of a sense of duty and public office. If lining their pockets has to come into it, that can come afterwards when the move into lucrative business positions is usually effortless – not that that stopped at least 15 former commissioners, according to a 2010 investigation, claiming “transition” payments of up to 65 per cent of their EU salaries after they had found new employment.
Lastly, there is the issue of elections. Once upon a time, the European Commission was always described as being the civil service of the EU. Now it is routinely described as being its executive arm. Even MEPs are unclear about how a group of officials frequently appointed as compensation for having lost a ministerial position at home – or never having gained one – have managed this discreet power-grab.
If the commissioners want to be the EU’s executives, then Europeans should be able to vote for them.
In fact, perhaps all EU officeholders should be elected, from the high representative to the president of the European Council. It would be interesting to see for whom the peoples of Europe would cast their ballots.
This kind of reform could bring real legitimacy and accountability to the EU. A referendum on whether to make such a restructuring the condition for Britain to remain in the union would be a question appropriate to the weighty decision to stay or leave.
What a pity that, instead, the plebiscite will be framed around a matter of small differences. It is an opportunity lost, for both Eurosceptics and Europhiles – and as such, will not settle Britain’s relationship with the EU for five minutes, let alone decades.
Sholto Byrnes is a senior fellow at the Institute of Strategic and International Studies, Malaysia
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if you go
The flights
Air Astana flies direct from Dubai to Almaty from Dh2,440 per person return, and to Astana (via Almaty) from Dh2,930 return, both including taxes.
The hotels
Rooms at the Ritz-Carlton Almaty cost from Dh1,944 per night including taxes; and in Astana the new Ritz-Carlton Astana (www.marriott) costs from Dh1,325; alternatively, the new St Regis Astana costs from Dh1,458 per night including taxes.
When to visit
March-May and September-November
Visas
Citizens of many countries, including the UAE do not need a visa to enter Kazakhstan for up to 30 days. Contact the nearest Kazakhstan embassy or consulate.
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Eyasses squad
Charlie Preston (captain) – goal shooter/ goalkeeper (Dubai College)
Arushi Holt (vice-captain) – wing defence / centre (Jumeriah English Speaking School)
Olivia Petricola (vice-captain) – centre / wing attack (Dubai English Speaking College)
Isabel Affley – goalkeeper / goal defence (Dubai English Speaking College)
Jemma Eley – goal attack / wing attack (Dubai College)
Alana Farrell-Morton – centre / wing / defence / wing attack (Nord Anglia International School)
Molly Fuller – goal attack / wing attack (Dubai College)
Caitlin Gowdy – goal defence / wing defence (Dubai English Speaking College)
Noorulain Hussain – goal defence / wing defence (Dubai College)
Zahra Hussain-Gillani – goal defence / goalkeeper (British School Al Khubairat)
Claire Janssen – goal shooter / goal attack (Jumeriah English Speaking School)
Eliza Petricola – wing attack / centre (Dubai English Speaking College)
THE SPECS
Cadillac XT6 2020 Premium Luxury
Engine: 3.6L V-6
Transmission: nine-speed automatic
Power: 310hp
Torque: 367Nm
Price: Dh280,000
Walls
Louis Tomlinson
3 out of 5 stars
(Syco Music/Arista Records)
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The past Palme d'Or winners
2018 Shoplifters, Hirokazu Kore-eda
2017 The Square, Ruben Ostlund
2016 I, Daniel Blake, Ken Loach
2015 Dheepan, Jacques Audiard
2014 Winter Sleep (Kış Uykusu), Nuri Bilge Ceylan
2013 Blue is the Warmest Colour (La Vie d'Adèle: Chapitres 1 et 2), Abdellatif Kechiche, Adele Exarchopoulos and Lea Seydoux
2012 Amour, Michael Haneke
2011 The Tree of Life, Terrence Malick
2010 Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives (Lung Bunmi Raluek Chat), Apichatpong Weerasethakul
2009 The White Ribbon (Eine deutsche Kindergeschichte), Michael Haneke
2008 The Class (Entre les murs), Laurent Cantet
Mubadala World Tennis Championship 2018 schedule
Thursday December 27
Men's quarter-finals
Kevin Anderson v Hyeon Chung 4pm
Dominic Thiem v Karen Khachanov 6pm
Women's exhibition
Serena Williams v Venus Williams 8pm
Friday December 28
5th place play-off 3pm
Men's semi-finals
Rafael Nadal v Anderson/Chung 5pm
Novak Djokovic v Thiem/Khachanov 7pm
Saturday December 29
3rd place play-off 5pm
Men's final 7pm
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if you go
Getting there
Etihad (Etihad.com), Emirates (emirates.com) and Air France (www.airfrance.com) fly to Paris’ Charles de Gaulle Airport, from Abu Dhabi and Dubai respectively. Return flights cost from around Dh3,785. It takes about 40 minutes to get from Paris to Compiègne by train, with return tickets costing €19. The Glade of the Armistice is 6.6km east of the railway station.
Staying there
On a handsome, tree-lined street near the Chateau’s park, La Parenthèse du Rond Royal (laparenthesedurondroyal.com) offers spacious b&b accommodation with thoughtful design touches. Lots of natural woods, old fashioned travelling trunks as decoration and multi-nozzle showers are part of the look, while there are free bikes for those who want to cycle to the glade. Prices start at €120 a night.
More information: musee-armistice-14-18.fr ; compiegne-tourisme.fr; uk.france.fr