In 2022, the World Bank raised the international poverty line, or minimum survival requirement, to $2.15 a day – or $785 annually. This coincided with nominal global gross domestic product exceeding $100 trillion allowing each of us about $12,500. There was, therefore, more than enough wealth to meet everyone’s basic needs. Yet 648 million people – or 8 per cent of the world – struggled in extreme poverty.
This insults our common humanity at a time that the world has never been richer. Covid-19, climate disasters and endless wars are invoked as excuses. But crises are also great for enrichment, by those who can invest to adapt and use their dominance to profit from the dependency of the vulnerable.
Accordingly, a staggering $42 trillion of new wealth has been created in the crisis-affected 2020s, with half captured by the richest 1 per cent. As world problems intensify, we continue to get richer with global GDP projections accelerating towards $139 trillion in 2030.
That is when the Sustainable Development Goals intend to eliminate poverty. It will not happen with 600 million of the 8.5 billion people in 2030 projected to remain extremely poor. A further three to four billion people will stay deprived in one or more aspects of poverty such as lacking health care, water, food, shelter, or education and jobs.
Seeking silver linings in dark clouds is a favourite pursuit in the development sector. To keep donors motivated, they are constantly reminded that a billion people have been lifted out of extreme poverty since 1990, and more are surviving childhood, getting educated, and living healthier and longer. So, give more aid.
However, can progress be attributed primarily to foreign aid? Besides, the achievements of some such as China, India, Indonesia, Nigeria and Kenya mask the lacklustre journey or even back-tracking by 75 poor, aid-dependent countries.
Meanwhile, donors are accused of stinginess despite official development assistance from governments growing by 34 per cent in real terms since 2019, reaching $223.7 billion in 2023.
Covid-19 and humanitarian crises have driven recent ODA flows. Assistance to Ukraine rose by 9 per cent last year to reach $20 billion, including $3.2 billion of aid. ODA, meanwhile, increased by 12 per cent on 2022 to the West Bank and Gaza, to $1.4 billion, including $758 million in the form of aid. The common accusation of western bias is debatable as numerous other crises such as Afghanistan, Sudan and many African hotspots have received significant help that pushed up global humanitarian volume by 4.8 per cent to reach $25.9 billion in 2022, although this is outstripped by needs.
To recover the trust with which aid is given and received requires re-discovering its moral purpose and vanquishing self-interest in delivery
All this data mostly represents the West, specifically the 32-member Development Advisory Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, which contributed 0.37 per cent of their gross national income as ODA last year. That is below the UN target of 0.7 per cent, a figure with little logic and much political baggage.
Last year’s largest ODA contributors were the US, Germany and EU institutions that accounted for more than half of western aid. Another $100 billion or so comes from 20-plus non-DAC donors, the largest being China, India, UAE and Turkey, as well as Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Russia.
Philanthropic aid is also expanding with the top 10 funders, led by the Gates Foundation, contributing $11 billion in 2021. Myriad NGOs and charitable individuals are also helping, such as $3 billion from Mike Bloomberg. Nevertheless, official and private aid is small compared to diaspora remittances estimated at $669 billion, touching families directly in developing countries. Market flows from trade and investment add about $46 billion.
Although dwarfed by other resource transfers, foreign aid is still important because it is taxpayer-funded via donor governments and so expresses solidarity from richer publics towards poorer ones.
It is under-recognised that the art and science of foreign aid have improved significantly. Over three decades of my development career, I have seen greater data standardisation, tracking and transparency, stronger programme monitoring, many research insights into aid effectiveness, and increased intolerance of misbehaviour and misconduct by aid workers. This is in addition to the necessary agency regulation accompanied by stronger standards and professional training, and game-changing organisational and technological innovations.
There is better policy harmonisation and co-ordination, and a drive towards beneficiary accountability. After much criticism of cumbersome aid bureaucracies, efficiency is slowly improving. Initiatives such as the Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness and DAC peer reviews have upped the game.
But these are technical improvements and aid’s noble aim to create a better, fairer world is crowded-out by self-serving objectives. Aid is justified to gain business and generate employment when preferential market access for own products and services accompanies aid packages. That can hamstring developing economies as also concessional loans and skewed trade deals that increase indebtedness or require mortgaging the recipient’s precious land or raw materials.
The spirit of ODA is further eroded when foreign aid is retained at home. That happens when aid is tied to buying products and services from donor countries. At least 16 per cent of DAC assistance – $175 billion – is tied this way, and the proportion is higher for new donors.
Meanwhile, less than a tenth of ODA goes directly through organisations of the Global South – the rest being channelled via donors’ own agencies. Much-hyped aid localisation has largely foundered. Parallel critiques of globalisation translate into hostility for multilateral aid organisations, undermining shared global good solutions, for example, in pandemic control or ecosystem repair.
The migration-aid nexus is the most contentious. Nearly 14 per cent of DAC members’ foreign aid in 2023 was sequestered for in-donor country refugee care. Meanwhile, donors use aid as an instrument of border control with, for example, the European Commission making deals with Mediterranean neighbours to stop migrant flows. This is despite evidence that aid does not affect decisions by migrants fleeing war and other adversity.
A complementary concern hovers over aid securitisation, by conditioning development assistance to security co-operation or increasing defence aid at the expense of ODA. A close nexus between the two sends negative signals at a time of historic trust deficits. For example, with the large interconnected economic and military package for Ukraine or military aid to Israel alongside humanitarian provision for Gaza.
Such instrumentalisation undermines the moral consensus underpinning aid. It coincides with record attacks on aid workers, and widescale obstruction or aid diversion. When this is combined with waste in misgoverned contexts where benefits are captured by corrupt elites, the original spirit of solidarity is severely tested.
This is not least when aid is little more than a panacea in contexts where solutions lie elsewhere and require expending political capital that is scarce in a world of geopolitical complexity.
The debate is further muddied by compensation demands for historic wrongs such as colonialism, slavery and climate loss-and-damage. Aid budgets are being asked to shoulder these obligations.
Where do we go from here? We can start by recognising that aid is over-hyped and can no longer be all things in all contexts.
Its development component should bear squarely – (perhaps 75 per cent of ODA) on human development only, specifically health and education, as enabler of all other progress – economic, social, infrastructure, governance, democracy and human rights.
It means focusing on 26 low-income (less than $1,135 per capita) and 54 lower-middle-income (up to $4,465) countries. The 54 upper-middle-income (up to $13, 846) states can buy and trade what they need. Their graduation out of aid could accelerate and they should become donors themselves, as several are already doing.
Second, we must make more generous humanitarian provision for mitigating conflicts and crises everywhere, and for as long as preventive will and solutions elude us. This probably requires doubling humanitarian aid to 25 per cent of ODA.
Overall, foreign aid remains important because it provides a critical connective strand in our divided world. The volume is less important than the trust with which it is given and received. To recover that trust requires re-discovering aid’s moral purpose and vanquishing self-interest in delivery.
In our needy and troubled world, compassion must be the only justification for aid.
How to watch Ireland v Pakistan in UAE
When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
What time: Each day’s play is scheduled to start at 2pm UAE time.
TV: The match will be broadcast on OSN Sports Cricket HD. Subscribers to the channel can also stream the action live on OSN Play.
Brolliology: A History of the Umbrella in Life and Literature
By Marion Rankine
Melville House
PROFILE OF HALAN
Started: November 2017
Founders: Mounir Nakhla, Ahmed Mohsen and Mohamed Aboulnaga
Based: Cairo, Egypt
Sector: transport and logistics
Size: 150 employees
Investment: approximately $8 million
Investors include: Singapore’s Battery Road Digital Holdings, Egypt’s Algebra Ventures, Uber co-founder and former CTO Oscar Salazar
The President's Cake
Director: Hasan Hadi
Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem
Rating: 4/5
Opening Rugby Championship fixtures:Games can be watched on OSN Sports
Saturday: Australia v New Zealand, Sydney, 1pm (UAE)
Sunday: South Africa v Argentina, Port Elizabeth, 11pm (UAE)
Quick pearls of wisdom
Focus on gratitude: And do so deeply, he says. “Think of one to three things a day that you’re grateful for. It needs to be specific, too, don’t just say ‘air.’ Really think about it. If you’re grateful for, say, what your parents have done for you, that will motivate you to do more for the world.”
Know how to fight: Shetty married his wife, Radhi, three years ago (he met her in a meditation class before he went off and became a monk). He says they’ve had to learn to respect each other’s “fighting styles” – he’s a talk it-out-immediately person, while she needs space to think. “When you’re having an argument, remember, it’s not you against each other. It’s both of you against the problem. When you win, they lose. If you’re on a team you have to win together.”
In-demand jobs and monthly salaries
- Technology expert in robotics and automation: Dh20,000 to Dh40,000
- Energy engineer: Dh25,000 to Dh30,000
- Production engineer: Dh30,000 to Dh40,000
- Data-driven supply chain management professional: Dh30,000 to Dh50,000
- HR leader: Dh40,000 to Dh60,000
- Engineering leader: Dh30,000 to Dh55,000
- Project manager: Dh55,000 to Dh65,000
- Senior reservoir engineer: Dh40,000 to Dh55,000
- Senior drilling engineer: Dh38,000 to Dh46,000
- Senior process engineer: Dh28,000 to Dh38,000
- Senior maintenance engineer: Dh22,000 to Dh34,000
- Field engineer: Dh6,500 to Dh7,500
- Field supervisor: Dh9,000 to Dh12,000
- Field operator: Dh5,000 to Dh7,000
Astroworld
Travis Scott
Grand Hustle/Epic/Cactus Jack
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5
Terror attacks in Paris, November 13, 2015
- At 9.16pm, three suicide attackers killed one person outside the Atade de France during a foootball match between France and Germany
- At 9.25pm, three attackers opened fire on restaurants and cafes over 20 minutes, killing 39 people
- Shortly after 9.40pm, three other attackers launched a three-hour raid on the Bataclan, in which 1,500 people had gathered to watch a rock concert. In total, 90 people were killed
- Salah Abdeslam, the only survivor of the terrorists, did not directly participate in the attacks, thought to be due to a technical glitch in his suicide vest
- He fled to Belgium and was involved in attacks on Brussels in March 2016. He is serving a life sentence in France
Sole survivors
- Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
- George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
- Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
- Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
Greatest of All Time
Starring: Vijay, Sneha, Prashanth, Prabhu Deva, Mohan
UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions
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The five pillars of Islam
What can you do?
Document everything immediately; including dates, times, locations and witnesses
Seek professional advice from a legal expert
You can report an incident to HR or an immediate supervisor
You can use the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation’s dedicated hotline
In criminal cases, you can contact the police for additional support
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
SERIE A FIXTURES
Friday Sassuolo v Torino (Kick-off 10.45pm UAE)
Saturday Atalanta v Sampdoria (5pm),
Genoa v Inter Milan (8pm),
Lazio v Bologna (10.45pm)
Sunday Cagliari v Crotone (3.30pm)
Benevento v Napoli (6pm)
Parma v Spezia (6pm)
Fiorentina v Udinese (9pm)
Juventus v Hellas Verona (11.45pm)
Monday AC Milan v AS Roma (11.45pm)
Cricket World Cup League Two
Teams
Oman, UAE, Namibia
Al Amerat, Muscat
Results
Oman beat UAE by five wickets
UAE beat Namibia by eight runs
Namibia beat Oman by 52 runs
UAE beat Namibia by eight wickets
Fixtures
Saturday January 11 - UAE v Oman
Sunday January 12 – Oman v Namibia
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The specs
Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel
Power: 579hp
Torque: 859Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh825,900
On sale: Now
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Our family matters legal consultant
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
BORDERLANDS
Starring: Cate Blanchett, Kevin Hart, Jamie Lee Curtis
Director: Eli Roth
Rating: 0/5
ONCE UPON A TIME IN GAZA
Starring: Nader Abd Alhay, Majd Eid, Ramzi Maqdisi
Directors: Tarzan and Arab Nasser
Rating: 4.5/5
VEZEETA PROFILE
Date started: 2012
Founder: Amir Barsoum
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: HealthTech / MedTech
Size: 300 employees
Funding: $22.6 million (as of September 2018)
Investors: Technology Development Fund, Silicon Badia, Beco Capital, Vostok New Ventures, Endeavour Catalyst, Crescent Enterprises’ CE-Ventures, Saudi Technology Ventures and IFC
GOLF’S RAHMBO
- 5 wins in 22 months as pro
- Three wins in past 10 starts
- 45 pro starts worldwide: 5 wins, 17 top 5s
- Ranked 551th in world on debut, now No 4 (was No 2 earlier this year)
- 5th player in last 30 years to win 3 European Tour and 2 PGA Tour titles before age 24 (Woods, Garcia, McIlroy, Spieth)
At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
THE POPE'S ITINERARY
Sunday, February 3, 2019 - Rome to Abu Dhabi
1pm: departure by plane from Rome / Fiumicino to Abu Dhabi
10pm: arrival at Abu Dhabi Presidential Airport
Monday, February 4
12pm: welcome ceremony at the main entrance of the Presidential Palace
12.20pm: visit Abu Dhabi Crown Prince at Presidential Palace
5pm: private meeting with Muslim Council of Elders at Sheikh Zayed Grand Mosque
6.10pm: Inter-religious in the Founder's Memorial
Tuesday, February 5 - Abu Dhabi to Rome
9.15am: private visit to undisclosed cathedral
10.30am: public mass at Zayed Sports City – with a homily by Pope Francis
12.40pm: farewell at Abu Dhabi Presidential Airport
1pm: departure by plane to Rome
5pm: arrival at the Rome / Ciampino International Airport