There is a surreal aspect to the UK’s relations with China. Some would go further and say it smacks of rank hypocrisy. Certainly, it involves two hands.
There’s the hand to the fore this weekend when the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, leads a heavyweight delegation of business and City figures to Beijing to try to secure closer financial and trade ties between the two countries. Accompanying her will be Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England; Nikhil Rathi, chief executive of the Financial Conduct Authority; Mark Tucker, chairman of HSBC; and a host of other business luminaries.
The two-handed approach is perfectly illustrated by how Reeves’ trip was due to coincide with the publication of a cross-Whitehall audit of UK relations with China, part of Labour’s manifesto commitment. So, as the Treasury and its boss wooed Beijing, other departments’ dealings with the country would come in for scrutiny.
That review has now been pushed back to spring and not all the findings will be made public.
That is not to say the other hand is in retreat. The head of the MI5 security service, Sir Ken McCallum, has declared that Beijing’s espionage represents a “sustained campaign on a pretty epic scale”.
The same hand has a Chinese businessman outed as a ‘spy’ with contacts running deep into Britain’s royal family, Beijing operatives embedding themselves in parliament and China being blamed, a few weeks ago, for cutting two fibre-optic cables 100 miles apart on the Baltic seabed. The UK Navy announced on Monday it was taking a lead role in detecting future threats to the North Sea.
Even so, it is expected to still make policy recommendations, including boosting Britain’s China-watching capability and requiring those employed by the Chinese government to register their role or face criminal prosecution, along with those recruited by other states viewed as a danger to the UK, such as Russia, Iran and North Korea.
Meanwhile, Britain continues to give vent to protests in the media and elsewhere against the jailing of anti-Beijing activists in its former Hong Kong colony.
It's bizarre but not unknown. Britain maintains a similar balancing act with other countries, weighing up investment opportunities with disapproval of some aspects of their behaviour. The attitude to China, however, must rank as the most extreme.
Given the recent history between the two it’s quite likely that the visit – the first 'Economic and Financial Dialogue', as it is officially termed – for more than five years, will be marked by yet another diplomatic crisis.
Certainly, some of the news coverage lately has required a double-take, with an item on perceived Chinese aggression and subterfuge followed by another on how Britain hopes to profit from stronger Chinese investment and economic ties. The UK is trying to have it both ways.
China's five financial priorities
Much of the talking will occur behind closed doors. It is unlikely, though, that Reeves and Co will lambast President Xi Jinping and his colleagues. Quite the reverse. What is said exactly will remain unknown, although it is difficult to imagine her even so much as venturing into awkward territory.
More likely will be her pursuit of pragmatism and the belief the two have much to offer each other business-wise.
Britain, post-Brexit, is in urgent need of major trading partners. Promised deals with India and the US have not materialised, while those concluded so far have been minor in nature.
It won’t be lost on the participants that the discussions directly precede the return to the White House of Donald Trump, who has declared his intent to increase tariffs against Chinese imports. Britain is also unsure of where it stands with the new US president, whether the historical ‘special relationship’ carries weight with him or whether it too will be dragged into a trade war.
High on the Reeves' wishlist will be Chinese electric vehicles. They, along with renewable technology, could be manufactured in Britain, bringing much-wanted investment and jobs.
It's easy to look at China’s might and say there is little for Beijing to gain by striking accords with Britain, not with a nation that repeatedly disrespects it so publicly and accuses it of engaging in some sort of cold war. But the Chinese are nothing if not pragmatic themselves. There is plenty that Britain can afford them.
London is home to one of the world’s strongest professional service industries, it’s the second largest financial centre after New York (in Trump’s US, of course). The Chinese economy is shifting. The population is ageing and the focus is on increased consumption and achieving slower but sustained growth.
Xi’s government has listed its five financial priorities: technology, green finance, digitalisation, financial inclusion and pensions. To secure those it must look to the global capital markets and that’s where the City comes in.
That’s why, as well, along with Reeves and her officials there will be Tucker and other financiers. The talk will be of facilitating, not blocking. That chimes as well with a London market that is reeling from corporate defections to the US, that wishes to be seen to be as international money powerhouse. In return for assistance in capital-raising, UK banks, led by HSBC, wish to be granted greater access to China’s financial services.
Tread the finest of lines
The critics won’t like it but this weekend is due to herald further meetings across areas of mutual interest. The energy and climate change secretary, Ed Miliband, will journey to China shortly.
Reeves is picking up where a Tory chancellor, Philip Hammond left off. He was the last UK minister to hold formal economic discussions with China in 2019. Hammond was following a previous Tory chancellor, George Osborne, who hailed a ‘golden era’ in Anglo-China relations and ‘deep and close partnerships’.
Nobody is making that boast today. Hammond now says such talk was “a mistake”. He says: “We were raising expectations about a level of closeness that there could never be because of differing cultural and political traditions.”
Instead, the UK should be concentrating on a “mutually beneficial relationship which recognises its boundaries and … works to maximise the benefits for both sides within those boundaries”. He says that provided Reeves enters talks with “her eyes open” and does not allow security to be compromised for trade, there are deals to be struck.
That’s music to those who want to push UK economic growth but anathema to others. Reeves and her delegation must tread the finest of lines.
Series result
1st ODI Zimbabwe won by 6 wickets
2nd ODI Sri Lanka won by 7 wickets
3rd ODI Sri Lanka won by 8 wickets
4th ODI Zimbabwe won by 4 wickets
5th ODI Zimbabwe won by 3 wickets
Desert Warrior
Starring: Anthony Mackie, Aiysha Hart, Ben Kingsley
Director: Rupert Wyatt
Rating: 3/5
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The specs: 2018 Jaguar F-Type Convertible
Price, base / as tested: Dh283,080 / Dh318,465
Engine: 2.0-litre inline four-cylinder
Transmission: Eight-speed automatic
Power: 295hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 400Nm @ 1,500rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 7.2L / 100km
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Tips%20for%20holiday%20homeowners
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Results
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RESULTS
5pm: Wathba Stallions Cup – Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (Dirt) 1,400m
Winner: Yas Xmnsor, Sean Kirrane (jockey), Khalifa Al Neyadi (trainer)
5.30pm: Falaj Hazza – Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Arim W’Rsan, Dane O’Neill, Jaci Wickham
6pm: Al Basrah – Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,800m
Winner: Kalifano De Ghazal, Abdul Aziz Al Balushi, Helal Al Alawi
6.30pm: Oud Al Touba – Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,800m
Winner: Pharitz Oubai, Sean Kirrane, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami
7pm: Sieh bin Amaar – Conditions (PA) Dh80,000 (D) 1,800m
Winner: Oxord, Richard Mullen, Abdalla Al Hammadi
7.30pm: Jebel Hafeet – Conditions (PA) Dh85,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: AF Ramz, Sean Kirrane, Khalifa Al Neyadi
8pm: Al Saad – Handicap (TB) Dh70,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: Sea Skimmer, Gabriele Malune, Kareem Ramadan
Like a Fading Shadow
Antonio Muñoz Molina
Translated from the Spanish by Camilo A. Ramirez
Tuskar Rock Press (pp. 310)
England World Cup squad
Eoin Morgan (capt), Moeen Ali, Jofra Archer, Jonny Bairstow, Jos Buttler (wkt), Tom Curran, Liam Dawson, Liam Plunkett, Adil Rashid, Joe Root, Jason Roy, Ben Stokes, James Vince, Chris Woakes, Mark Wood
Sholto Byrnes on Myanmar politics
Mohammed bin Zayed Majlis
Scoreline
Abu Dhabi Harlequins 17
Jebel Ali Dragons 20
Harlequins Tries: Kinivilliame, Stevenson; Cons: Stevenson 2; Pen: Stevenson
Dragons Tries: Naisau, Fourie; Cons: Love 2; Pens: Love 2
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Alan%20Wake%20Remastered%20
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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