Nasrallah's long-serving deputy Naim Qassem is appointed new Hezbollah leader



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Hezbollah has announced Naim Qassem as its new secretary general, filling a crucial vacancy as the Iran-backed militant group comes under increasing Israeli military pressure that has wiped out a large proportion of its top echelons.

His predecessor Hassan Nasrallah was killed in an air attack on Beirut in September. Mr Qassem was Nasrallah's deputy for three decades, but he was not considered a likely successor until Israel started dismantling Hezbollah's command structure, reducing the pool of veteran figures who could take over.

Mr Qassem is an unknown quantity as far as the military and political capabilities that Hezbollah needs to survive the Israeli onslaught. He is widely seen as more of a theoretician than a tactician. In his deputy role he focused on public relations – mainly media interviews – and Hezbollah's electoral campaigns.

He was a disciple of Imam Musa Al Sadr, an eminent Lebanese Shiite cleric who disappeared in Libya in 1978, just after meeting dictator Muammar Qaddafi. Mr Al Sadr preached coexistence and even famously lectured at a church in downtown Beirut.

Shortly after Mr Al Sadr's disappearance, Mr Qassem left Amal, the Shiite movement that the imam had founded. His career took a more militant trajectory, as he became one of the first cadres of Hezbollah when it was founded by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Syrian intelligence in the 1980s.

In one interview, he said that training camps set up by the IRGC in the Bekaa Valley during Lebanon's civil war made people discover “a classy model of education, preparedness, morals and faith”.

After an inconclusive war with Israel in 2006, Mr Qassem's pronouncements grew more dismissive of the country, hinting that Israel might be too divided to win a new war against the group. Since the killing of Mr Nasrallah, he has said repeatedly that Hezbollah remains strong, despite Israel's invasion of south Lebanon and expanding aerial attacks across the country.

But Mr Qassem said that Hezbollah would sign a ceasefire with Israel, abandoning a previous stance that tied a ceasefire in Lebanon with a ceasefire in Gaza.

He was not the first choice to succeed Mr Nasrallah. Hashem Safieddine, Nasrallah’s maternal cousin and head of Hezbollah's executive council, had been seen as the likely new leader. However, Mr Safieddine was assassinated days after the killing of Nasrallah in another Israeli bombing of Beirut. Hezbollah only confirmed Mr Safieddine's death last week.

Mr Qassem was appointed deputy leader in 1991 by Hezbollah's then-secretary general Abbas Al Musawi, who was killed by an Israeli helicopter attack the following year.

The Israeli army has only made limited progress in its invasion of south Lebanon under intense fire from Hezbollah units. The militant group has ramped up the scope of its attacks on Israel, hitting military bases near Tel Aviv.

 

 

 

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SUNDERLAND 2002-03

No one has ended a Premier League season quite like Sunderland. They lost each of their final 15 games, taking no points after January. They ended up with 19 in total, sacking managers Peter Reid and Howard Wilkinson and losing 3-1 to Charlton when they scored three own goals in eight minutes.

SUNDERLAND 2005-06

Until Derby came along, Sunderland’s total of 15 points was the Premier League’s record low. They made it until May and their final home game before winning at the Stadium of Light while they lost a joint record 29 of their 38 league games.

HUDDERSFIELD 2018-19

Joined Derby as the only team to be relegated in March. No striker scored until January, while only two players got more assists than goalkeeper Jonas Lossl. The mid-season appointment Jan Siewert was to end his time as Huddersfield manager with a 5.3 per cent win rate.

ASTON VILLA 2015-16

Perhaps the most inexplicably bad season, considering they signed Idrissa Gueye and Adama Traore and still only got 17 points. Villa won their first league game, but none of the next 19. They ended an abominable campaign by taking one point from the last 39 available.

FULHAM 2018-19

Terrible in different ways. Fulham’s total of 26 points is not among the lowest ever but they contrived to get relegated after spending over £100 million (Dh457m) in the transfer market. Much of it went on defenders but they only kept two clean sheets in their first 33 games.

LA LIGA: Sporting Gijon, 13 points in 1997-98.

BUNDESLIGA: Tasmania Berlin, 10 points in 1965-66

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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

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Updated: October 30, 2024, 2:28 AM