Israel election: Netanyahu on brink of comeback, exit polls show

Israel's fifth election in less than four years exasperated many, but turnout was reported at highest level since 1999

Former Israeli prime minister and leader of the Likud party Benjamin Netanyahu and his wife Sara greet supporters in Jerusalem as Israelis went to the polls on Tuesday. EPA

Mr Netanyahu greets supporters after the end of voting for the national elections. AFP

Prime Minister Yair Lapid addresses supporters at his campaign headquarters in Tel Aviv. EPA

The prime minister's wife Lihi Lapid, centre, cheers her husband. AFP

The leader of the Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) far-right party Itamar Ben Gvir at his party's campaign headquarters in Jerusalem. AFP

Otzma Yehudit party members in upbeat mood. AFP

A Likud party supporter responds to favourable exit polls. Getty

Supporters of Mr Netanyahu react as early exit polls suggest a comeback for the former leader. EPA

An Ultra-Orthodox Jewish Israeli selects his ballot paper on the day of Israel's general election at a polling station in Jerusalem. Reuters

Mr Netanyahu and his wife Sara cast their ballot at a polling station in Jerusalem in the country's fifth election in less than four years. AFP

A man kisses his dog after casting his ballot in Tel Aviv during the Israeli elections. AP

Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid smiles as he casts his vote at a polling station in Israel's coastal city of Tel Aviv. Mr Lapid urged the electorate to cast their ballot after voting in an election that might lead to veteran leader Benjamin Netanyahu making a comeback alongside far-right allies. Reuters

Israeli Defence Minister Benny Gantz, right, head of the new centre-right National Unity Party, and his wife Revital Gantz vote at a polling station in the city of Rosh Haayin in central Israel. AFP

Ultra-Orthodox Jews watch their Rabbi Israel Hager vote during Israeli elections in Bnei Brak. AP

An Ultra-Orthodox Jewish man votes in Israel's parliamentary election at a polling station in Bnei Brak. AP

An Israeli man walks with a little girl towards the ballot box to cast his vote. AP

A little girl helps her mother cast her ballot on the day of Israel's general election at a polling station in Taibe, northern Israel. Reuters

Israelis queue to cast their ballots on the day of Israel's general election at a polling station in Tel Aviv. Reuters

Ultra-Orthodox Jewish Israelis wait to cast their ballots at a polling station in Jerusalem. Reuters

An Israeli man casts his ballot at a drive-through polling station for people quarantined as a result of Covid-19 in Jerusalem. Reuters

After promising results in the exit polls from Tuesday's election, the atmosphere at the Likud party headquarters in Jerusalem is a celebratory one: the party headed by former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu seems to be on the brink of returning to office.

Israel's longest-serving prime minister, Mr Netanyahu was poised to take 61 or 62 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, Israeli television exit polls showed.

Security on the streets and soaring prices topped the list of voter concerns in a campaign started after defections from centrist Prime Minister Yair Lapid's unlikely ruling coalition of right-wing, liberal and Arab parties.

Policy issues have been overshadowed by the outsize personality of Mr Netanyahu, who is on trial over corruption charges, which he denies. His legal battles have fed the stalemate blocking Israel's political system since he was indicted on bribery, fraud and breach of trust charges in 2019.

Early indications pointed to a strong showing by the right, which had been predicted to fall slightly short of a majority.

Israel's fifth election in less than four years exasperated many voters but turnout was reported at the highest level since 1999.

One of those celebrating hardest at Likud headquarters is Tal Gilboa, a vegan activist and once the winner of the Israeli version of the reality show Big Brother.

Tonight, she is only an activist for Mr Netanyahu, a man she and people throughout the country also known as Bibi.

“We’ve been out for two months trying to get this result,” she says, beaming. “I was an adviser to the former prime minister. I am so proud of him. He was the first and only prime minister to eat lab-grown meat, because of my activism!”

With “God’s help”, Ms Gilboa hopes to see her political hero back in power as soon as possible.

Amid the singing, dancing — she created the event’s lively playlist — and jumping up and down, she does urge caution: “Look, I’m happy but I’m not super-mega happy yet. We still have to wait for the final results.”

But, for now, Likud’s supporters seem genuinely happy.

And while the mood at Likud headquarters is high, the real celebration to watch is the one erupting in a hotel over the road, where the far-right Religious Zionism party is gathered.

While a lot could still change — official results are released on Friday — if Mr Netanyahu has won the mandate to build a coalition, he will most likely do so with them.

That could well mean ministerial positions for its leader Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir, whose Otzma Yehudit party is running on the same list.

Mr Smotrich has his sights set on the country’s judicial system, which he views as biased and in need of radical reform. Many Israelis on the left fear that he will vandalise it, changing forever a key institution in the country’s democracy.

Mr Ben-Gvir is gunning for influence in Israel’s approach to internal security, a major area of concern for many as domestic instability and violence now occurs on a near daily basis. His focus includes annexing the West Bank, loosening rules of engagement and even encouraging Palestinian migration.

The inclusion of Mr Ben-Gvir — a former member of Kach, a group on Israeli and US terrorist watch lists, and who was once convicted for racist incitement — in any new government could alarm allies, including Washington.

Most of all, the party wants all of this to be underpinned by what one Religious Zionism supporter termed “a strong, conservative Jewish identity for Israel”.

These openly radical proposals and an almost messianic clarity of purpose would have been taboo not long ago. Religious Zionism supporters are celebrating so hard because they now stand a good chance of entering the mainstream.

They want a new Israel that embraces a new type of right-wing politics. This popular mandate has helped put Likud, their potential partners, in power.

They will be expecting a lot in return — the next few days and weeks will indicate just how much.

For now, the cheers, signing and dancing of Likud members draped in flags project only an image of unity and victory. But they might soon be less happy at what their new partners ask of them.

Reuters contributed to this report