If the former chief executive of the Royal Bank of Scotland had been a Muslim and had run his bank on Sharia-compliant principles, would it have prevented the disaster that has befallen RBS?
It sounds hypothetical in the extreme. Sir Fred is a Scots Presbyterian, and RBS was the epitome of gung-ho western capitalism before it came crashing down.
But the question came to me as I sat at a dinner in Dubai's Grand Hyatt hotel this week, where 300 or so bankers and financiers had gathered to slap each other on the back at the Islamic Finance News Awards ceremony. If the financial world was run on Sharia lines, the backslappers concurred, we would not be in the middle of economic meltdown.
That opinion came not just from Dubai. In Jakarta, president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono of Indonesia told the World Islamic Economic Forum much the same thing, adding that Islamic financiers should "do some missionary work in the West" to teach the former masters of the universe how to run a proper banking system.
Incongruously, the sentiment was echoed in Rome, where the Vatican newspaper L'Osservatore Romano said: "The ethical principles on which Islam is based may bring banks closer to their clients and to the true spirit which should mark every financial service ... Western banks should use tools such as the Islamic bonds known as sukuk as collateral."
From the Far East, to the Gulf, and on to the heart of Christendom, the belief has been gaining ground as quickly as the financial crisis has accelerated: if western bankers had applied the cautious, prudent methods of Islam, instead of the bonus-fuelled jiggery-pokery of the US and Europe, we would not be on the brink of financial disaster.
Islamic financial principles can show us a way out of the mess.
They have a point. Apart from banning investment in industries such as alcohol and gambling, Islam also bans financial interest and the so-called "products" that derive from them.
Collateralised debt obligations, the class of products largely responsible for our current disaster, are as un-Islamic as it gets.
Sharia-compliant personal and consumer finance, such as mortgages, leasing agreements and loans, are matched much more closely than their western counterparts to true asset value and are generally more conservatively rated. That does not mean Islamic finance has been unaffected by the crisis caused by the West. There are credit crunches and liquidity shortages aplenty in the Gulf, and the rest of the Muslim world - the direct result of western contagion.
My host at the Dubai dinner, Dr Humayon Dar, the chief executive officer of the BMB Islamic group controlled by the Sultan of Brunei and several Middle East royal families, put it neatly: "Western institutions are sick and hospitalised; Islamic financials are hospitalised alongside them, but not that sick. We can be back on our feet more quickly."
But if so, will they pull the West out of its predicament? And will the western financials pay any more attention to Islamic banking once they get out of the current predicament?
Within the global economy, Islamic finance is still minuscule. According to London Business School, the total value of Islamic financial business in 2007 was something like US$729 billion (Dh2.6 trillion).
That sounds big, roughly the same magnitude as the US government's current bailout programme of its toxic assets, but it is still a mere 1 per cent of the total value of the world economy.
With 1.6 billion Muslims out of the world population of 6.6 billion, you could argue that Muslims are hugely underserved by their financial providers. So there is plenty of potential.
Some western bankers saw that several years ago, and there was a rush to hire Muslim staff and initiate Sharia-compliant operations. These focused on the big Muslim communities in the Middle East, Indonesia and Malaysia, but also began to fish in the big pools of Islamic communities in Europe and North America.
Whether this represents "conversion" to Islamic financial methods on the part of westerners is another matter. They were after business, of course, and particularly the big pools of liquidity held by governments and wealthy individuals in the Gulf, and the mass markets of the Far East. Their motive was profit, not a more secure global financial system, and they were ready to bolt on Sharia-compliant procedures to the most hair-raising and risk-taking aspects of casino capitalism.
They also did it grudgingly and with many reservations. There was much complaint in western banking circles about lack of regulation in Islamic finance, the high fees needed to lure the comparatively small number of Sharia-qualified financiers in the world, and the cost of "fatwa-shopping", the process by which western-originated financial products were issued with Sharia-compliant authorisation.
"It's a con. They know it and we know it. But it's the price we have to pay for access to the Islamic markets," said one western banker at the Hyatt last week.
There is no real conversion to Islamic principles there; merely a typical western business imperative to get a slice of some action when conventional markets are locked in financial paralysis.
HSBC, one of the better-run global banks that has so far stayed out of the spiral of government bailout, has decided Islamic finance is a top priority.
"It will be one of the few areas of world finance where there is any growth this year. We think the market for sukuks will revive and there is huge potential in consumer retail banking products. The demographics are all-important: Islam is young and growing, Christendom is old and dying," said a Dubai HSBC executive.
But what about Sir Fred, and his bonus - would a multimillion-dollar compensation package for wrecking RBS have been acceptable under Sharia principles?
Dr Dar said: "It would not have been 'haram' (forbidden) - that is a very strong phrase in Islamic finance. But it would have been objectionable."
That is roughly the predicament of the British politicians are trying to get him to pay it back. It seems the two systems have plenty in common already.
business@thenational.ae
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Our Time Has Come
Alyssa Ayres, Oxford University Press
Scoreline
Germany 2
Werner 9', Sane 19'
Netherlands 2
Promes 85', Van Dijk 90'
The bio
Studied up to grade 12 in Vatanappally, a village in India’s southern Thrissur district
Was a middle distance state athletics champion in school
Enjoys driving to Fujairah and Ras Al Khaimah with family
His dream is to continue working as a social worker and help people
Has seven diaries in which he has jotted down notes about his work and money he earned
Keeps the diaries in his car to remember his journey in the Emirates
The%20Little%20Mermaid%20
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Rob%20Marshall%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EHalle%20Bailey%2C%20Jonah%20Hauer-King%2C%20Melissa%20McCarthy%2C%20Javier%20Bardem%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2%2F5%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
10 tips for entry-level job seekers
- Have an up-to-date, professional LinkedIn profile. If you don’t have a LinkedIn account, set one up today. Avoid poor-quality profile pictures with distracting backgrounds. Include a professional summary and begin to grow your network.
- Keep track of the job trends in your sector through the news. Apply for job alerts at your dream organisations and the types of jobs you want – LinkedIn uses AI to share similar relevant jobs based on your selections.
- Double check that you’ve highlighted relevant skills on your resume and LinkedIn profile.
- For most entry-level jobs, your resume will first be filtered by an applicant tracking system for keywords. Look closely at the description of the job you are applying for and mirror the language as much as possible (while being honest and accurate about your skills and experience).
- Keep your CV professional and in a simple format – make sure you tailor your cover letter and application to the company and role.
- Go online and look for details on job specifications for your target position. Make a list of skills required and set yourself some learning goals to tick off all the necessary skills one by one.
- Don’t be afraid to reach outside your immediate friends and family to other acquaintances and let them know you are looking for new opportunities.
- Make sure you’ve set your LinkedIn profile to signal that you are “open to opportunities”. Also be sure to use LinkedIn to search for people who are still actively hiring by searching for those that have the headline “I’m hiring” or “We’re hiring” in their profile.
- Prepare for online interviews using mock interview tools. Even before landing interviews, it can be useful to start practising.
- Be professional and patient. Always be professional with whoever you are interacting with throughout your search process, this will be remembered. You need to be patient, dedicated and not give up on your search. Candidates need to make sure they are following up appropriately for roles they have applied.
Arda Atalay, head of Mena private sector at LinkedIn Talent Solutions, Rudy Bier, managing partner of Kinetic Business Solutions and Ben Kinerman Daltrey, co-founder of KinFitz
The Florida Project
Director: Sean Baker
Starring: Bria Vinaite, Brooklynn Prince, Willem Dafoe
Four stars
Australia men's Test cricket fixtures 2021/22
One-off Test v Afghanistan:
Nov 27-Dec 1: Blundstone Arena, Hobart
The Ashes v England:
Dec 8-12: 1st Test, Gabba, Brisbane
Dec 16-20: 2nd Test, Adelaide Oval, Adelaide (day/night)
Dec 26-30: 3rd Test, Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
Jan 5-9, 2022: 4th Test, Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney
Jan 14-18: 5th Test, Optus Stadium, Perth
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
The specs
Engine: Direct injection 4-cylinder 1.4-litre
Power: 150hp
Torque: 250Nm
Price: From Dh139,000
On sale: Now