Audience figures for news channels in Saudi Arabia have doubled since protests began in some parts of the Mena the region. Above, traders in Riyadh watch a report on Egypt. Fahad Shadeed / Reuters
Audience figures for news channels in Saudi Arabia have doubled since protests began in some parts of the Mena the region. Above, traders in Riyadh watch a report on Egypt. Fahad Shadeed / Reuters

The big news: little spending in the Middle East



Arabic television news stations have pulled in viewers during the wave of protests that have swept parts of the Mena region, but they have failed to pull in more advertising dollars.

Audience figures for television news channels in key media markets such as Saudi Arabia have doubled since the beginning of the protests. According to the monitoring company Ipsos MediaCT, news channels had an 11 per cent share in Saudi Arabia in December but a 22 per cent share by February as unrest widened in the region.

"TV viewing has remained overall stable at the high average of nearly six hours, but the programmes and channels selection has seen a huge swell in demand for news," says Sami Raffoul, the general manager of Pan Arab Research Center (Parc), one of the biggest providers of media data.

But despite these rising figures at Arab channels such as Al Arabiya and Al Jazeera, advertising spending has dipped. TV advertising is big business in Saudi Arabia, where the average adult watches almost six hours of television a day, according to Parc figures. In February, the average resident of Saudi Arabia watched Al Arabiya news station for 47 minutes a day - compared with just 14 minutes a year ago, Parc reports.

But this has not helped advertising revenue at Al Arabiya. During the Arab protests, ad revenue has dropped by at least 15 per cent.

"The channel witnessed during January and February a drop in its commercial revenues," says Mazen Hayek, the group director of PR and commercial at the MBC Group, which operates Al Arabiya news station. "I would say a solid 15 per cent drop in the first two months of the year."

The main reason for the decline is that news channels are unable to accommodate as much advertising because of fewer commercial spots, Mr Hayek said. Sponsored shows are also being cut to make way for breaking news.

Another problem cited by Mr Hayek is that media agencies, which buy advertising on behalf of their clients, may be reluctant to change their spending plans.

And major brands are reluctant to book advertising on channels that carry breaking news because they do not want to risk being associated with scenes of violence.

"Many of the brand owners stay away from images of death and war," says Mr Raffoul.

"They don't want to associate their brand with a programme that is troubling to people."

Mr Raffoul also pointed out that there had been a wider impact on the advertising industry after the unrest in parts of the Mena region.

In Egypt, TV advertising has been virtually decimated during the past two months, with spending down 97 per cent in February and 78 per cent in March compared with the same months last year, Parc reports.

Spending in February was down from US$49 million (Dh179.9m) to less than $1m, although Parc's dollar estimates do not take into account free or discounted ads.

The newspaper industry in Egypt was also badly hit, with advertising spending down 45 per cent in the first quarter of this year compared with last year.

Mr Raffoul attributes this to the difficulties of distributing newspapers in the face of "barricades, interruption in the traffic flow and curfews".

"In Egypt, the leading titles circulate in millions. Any breakdown can bring the circulation down to hundreds of thousands, and that would have a big impact," he says.

Turmoil in one Arab country can also cause a ripple effect elsewhere.

"The Arab world is one language, one body. If one part of the body aches, it's the whole of the Arab world that suffers," Mr Raffoul says.

But cutting advertising budgets in times of adversity is not the answer, he says. "Advertising in times of economic depression will earn you a lot of momentum and equity in better times to come," he says.

Still, advertisers seem reluctant to heed his message. According to a panel of media executives polled by The Nationalthis year, advertising spending in the Mena region is forecast to decline by 3.7 per cent this year because of the impact of political unrest.

So what does this mean for the region's TV news stations, which have been propelled into the international spotlight during the unrest?

Mr Raffoul says viewership for news stations is already beginning to decline.

"February was really a high-intensity period," he said. "In March, people have become accustomed to the events. It will continue to decline in April. There will be less emphasis on news stations."

But the protests have also helped the region's news channels, despite advertisers' reluctance to spend. Covering breaking news may be expensive, but the brand value of stations such as Al Arabiya and Al Jazeera has been heightened during the uprisings, and that is likely to have a long-term commercial benefit.

"When you advertise on a news station in normal days, you advertise because you believe a station is serious and has authority," says Mr Raffoul. "It is heightening the brand."

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2017: Golden State bt Cleveland 4-1
2016: Cleveland bt Golden State 4-3
2015: Golden State bt Cleveland 4-2
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Name: ARDH Collective
Based: Dubai
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Sector: Sustainability
Total funding: Self funded
Number of employees: 4

Name: Colm McLoughlin

Country: Galway, Ireland

Job: Executive vice chairman and chief executive of Dubai Duty Free

Favourite golf course: Dubai Creek Golf and Yacht Club

Favourite part of Dubai: Palm Jumeirah

 

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4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own

5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed

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How Tesla’s price correction has hit fund managers

Investing in disruptive technology can be a bumpy ride, as investors in Tesla were reminded on Friday, when its stock dropped 7.5 per cent in early trading to $575.

It recovered slightly but still ended the week 15 per cent lower and is down a third from its all-time high of $883 on January 26. The electric car maker’s market cap fell from $834 billion to about $567bn in that time, a drop of an astonishing $267bn, and a blow for those who bought Tesla stock late.

The collapse also hit fund managers that have gone big on Tesla, notably the UK-based Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF.

Tesla is the top holding in both funds, making up a hefty 10 per cent of total assets under management. Both funds have fallen by a quarter in the past month.

Matt Weller, global head of market research at GAIN Capital, recently warned that Tesla founder Elon Musk had “flown a bit too close to the sun”, after getting carried away by investing $1.5bn of the company’s money in Bitcoin.

He also predicted Tesla’s sales could struggle as traditional auto manufacturers ramp up electric car production, destroying its first mover advantage.

AJ Bell’s Russ Mould warns that many investors buy tech stocks when earnings forecasts are rising, almost regardless of valuation. “When it works, it really works. But when it goes wrong, elevated valuations leave little or no downside protection.”

A Tesla correction was probably baked in after last year’s astonishing share price surge, and many investors will see this as an opportunity to load up at a reduced price.

Dramatic swings are to be expected when investing in disruptive technology, as Ms Wood at ARK makes clear.

Every week, she sends subscribers a commentary listing “stocks in our strategies that have appreciated or dropped more than 15 per cent in a day” during the week.

Her latest commentary, issued on Friday, showed seven stocks displaying extreme volatility, led by ExOne, a leader in binder jetting 3D printing technology. It jumped 24 per cent, boosted by news that fellow 3D printing specialist Stratasys had beaten fourth-quarter revenues and earnings expectations, seen as good news for the sector.

By contrast, computational drug and material discovery company Schrödinger fell 27 per cent after quarterly and full-year results showed its core software sales and drug development pipeline slowing.

Despite that setback, Ms Wood remains positive, arguing that its “medicinal chemistry platform offers a powerful and unique view into chemical space”.

In her weekly video view, she remains bullish, stating that: “We are on the right side of change, and disruptive innovation is going to deliver exponential growth trajectories for many of our companies, in fact, most of them.”

Ms Wood remains committed to Tesla as she expects global electric car sales to compound at an average annual rate of 82 per cent for the next five years.

She said these are so “enormous that some people find them unbelievable”, and argues that this scepticism, especially among institutional investors, “festers” and creates a great opportunity for ARK.

Only you can decide whether you are a believer or a festering sceptic. If it’s the former, then buckle up.

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Price, base: Dh138,000 (estimate)
Engine: 60kWh battery
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Power: 204hp
Torque: 360Nm
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Wicked
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The specs

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Power: 181hp

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Starting price: Dh79,000

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