Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, wrote in the Financial Times on Wednesday that looser regulation is needed. Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images / AFP
Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, wrote in the Financial Times on Wednesday that looser regulation is needed. Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images / AFP

So nothing happens in August? History suggests otherwise



My friend and former neighbour Frank Johnson, one of Britain's most distinguished journalists in an age when the trade was respected - a time before the age of phone hacking and trawling through wheelie bins - had a column that he dusted down and served up every August. August is traditionally the silly season for newspapers as well as politicians. Parliament is in recess, most of the bankers and businessmen are sailing at Cowes or eating bean soup in Tuscany. Nothing happens, is the refrain. And in newspaper terms, no news is bad news.

However, my old pal would point out that far from being a dull time of year, a number of rather key events have occurred in the summer months. Take, for example, the declaration of the Great War, that momentous European struggle that was the beginning of the end for the British Empire and resulted in the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, and the subsequent deaths of almost 40 million people.

Few observers saw it coming, even when the Archduke Franz Ferdinand was bumped off by Gavrilo Princip. The first sign of trouble was a sharp dip in bond prices. Shares were hit too. John Maynard Keynes, the economist and policymaker who was a courageous investor who saw nothing wrong with a touch of insider dealing, thought he had the inside steer to the crisis and bought Rio Tinto and Canadian Pacific shares, only to see them tank. On August 4, 1914, Britain declared war on Germany and Sir Edward Grey, the British foreign secretary, said: "The lamps are going out all over Europe. We shall not see them lit again in our time."

Yes, that probably gave the journos back in 1914 something to write about. Or take August 6, 1945. For the first time a nuclear bomb was dropped on civilians when the Enola Gay flew over Hiroshima to unleash its load and provoke a mushroom cloud. A few days later, something similar happened over Nagasaki. Anne Frank was arrested in August, income tax was collected for the first time, and the twin cultural icons of the 1960s, Elvis Presley and Marilyn Monroe, both died.

Yes, much as we would all like August to pass away quietly, sometimes it doesn't. This year August looks promising for the budding Frank Johnsons of the future with columns to fill in years to come. But for the rest of us, it looks rather bleak and far too busy. Ramadan may be a time of contemplation in the Muslim world, but it is not clear how the Arab street will act. Will it be a month of Fridays with the traditional after-prayers gathering every day, or will the heat and calm prevail?

Arab world apart, August looks unusually combustible in both the US and Europe. American politicians have to decide by Tuesday whether to raise a self-imposed debt ceiling and allow the government to borrow or print more greenbacks, the very spectre of which is propelling the dollar to record lows. And the euro, despite last week's last-minute deal, remains perched on a cliff edge. If the Americans cannot reach a compromise they will lose their coveted "AAA" rating and also provoke the biggest financial storm we have seen since the last very big one. If just the hint that Dubai World might default was able to send stock markets spinning from Shanghai to Sao Paulo, imagine the unravelling that would have to occur if the US government could no longer pay its bills.

George Soros, who you might think would be rubbing his hands with glee - after all, he's the fellow who famously broke the Bank of England and picked up a tasty few billion in the process - has decided instead to hand back investors' money and just deal on his own. The supposed reason for this is that he is unwilling to introduce the new regulations that are designed to protect investors and reassure institutions. Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, wrote in the Financial Times on Wednesday that looser regulation is needed. He is the fellow charged by many as helping to spark the credit crunch of 2008. He certainly encouraged financial institutions to take one-way bets with little regard for risk.

The governments of Europe and the US seem either unwilling or unable to cope. Most people see the American debt ceiling as the most intractable, but I still think Europe is the most damaged. It reminds me of one of those financial institutions such as Chemical Bank, which merged with Manufacturers Hanover, then took over Chase Manhattan Bank and JP Morgan, with all the growth masking structural problems. Bank of America was busy doing the same sort of thing. Europe has spent more time growing than working. Now it's time to grow up, but nothing ever happens in August.

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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: ARDH Collective
Based: Dubai
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Sector: Sustainability
Total funding: Self funded
Number of employees: 4
Another way to earn air miles

In addition to the Emirates and Etihad programmes, there is the Air Miles Middle East card, which offers members the ability to choose any airline, has no black-out dates and no restrictions on seat availability. Air Miles is linked up to HSBC credit cards and can also be earned through retail partners such as Spinneys, Sharaf DG and The Toy Store.

An Emirates Dubai-London round-trip ticket costs 180,000 miles on the Air Miles website. But customers earn these ‘miles’ at a much faster rate than airline miles. Adidas offers two air miles per Dh1 spent. Air Miles has partnerships with websites as well, so booking.com and agoda.com offer three miles per Dh1 spent.

“If you use your HSBC credit card when shopping at our partners, you are able to earn Air Miles twice which will mean you can get that flight reward faster and for less spend,” says Paul Lacey, the managing director for Europe, Middle East and India for Aimia, which owns and operates Air Miles Middle East.

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Thank You for Banking with Us

Director: Laila Abbas

Starring: Yasmine Al Massri, Clara Khoury, Kamel El Basha, Ashraf Barhoum

Rating: 4/5

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
EMIRATES'S%20REVISED%20A350%20DEPLOYMENT%20SCHEDULE
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EU Russia

The EU imports 90 per cent  of the natural gas used to generate electricity, heat homes and supply industry, with Russia supplying almost 40 per cent of EU gas and a quarter of its oil. 

How to get exposure to gold

Although you can buy gold easily on the Dubai markets, the problem with buying physical bars, coins or jewellery is that you then have storage, security and insurance issues.

A far easier option is to invest in a low-cost exchange traded fund (ETF) that invests in the precious metal instead, for example, ETFS Physical Gold (PHAU) and iShares Physical Gold (SGLN) both track physical gold. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF invests directly in mining companies.

Alternatively, BlackRock Gold & General seeks to achieve long-term capital growth primarily through an actively managed portfolio of gold mining, commodity and precious-metal related shares. Its largest portfolio holdings include gold miners Newcrest Mining, Barrick Gold Corp, Agnico Eagle Mines and the NewMont Goldcorp.

Brave investors could take on the added risk of buying individual gold mining stocks, many of which have performed wonderfully well lately.

London-listed Centamin is up more than 70 per cent in just three months, although in a sign of its volatility, it is down 5 per cent on two years ago. Trans-Siberian Gold, listed on London's alternative investment market (AIM) for small stocks, has seen its share price almost quadruple from 34p to 124p over the same period, but do not assume this kind of runaway growth can continue for long

However, buying individual equities like these is highly risky, as their share prices can crash just as quickly, which isn't what what you want from a supposedly safe haven.

How to protect yourself when air quality drops

Install an air filter in your home.

Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

Wear a face mask.

Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

What are the GCSE grade equivalents?
 
  • Grade 9 = above an A*
  • Grade 8 = between grades A* and A
  • Grade 7 = grade A
  • Grade 6 = just above a grade B
  • Grade 5 = between grades B and C
  • Grade 4 = grade C
  • Grade 3 = between grades D and E
  • Grade 2 = between grades E and F
  • Grade 1 = between grades F and G
UAE%20Warriors%2045%20Results
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Joker: Folie a Deux

Starring: Joaquin Phoenix, Lady Gaga, Brendan Gleeson

Director: Todd Phillips 

Rating: 2/5

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Almnssa
Started: August 2020
Founder: Areej Selmi
Based: Gaza
Sectors: Internet, e-commerce
Investments: Grants/private funding

Small Victories: The True Story of Faith No More by Adrian Harte
Jawbone Press

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