Artist impression of a stadium planned for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Courtesy HH Vision
Artist impression of a stadium planned for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Courtesy HH Vision

Scandal clouds Qatar World Cup



The Fifa bribery scandal has heightened controversy surrounding Qatar's winning bid to host the 2022 World Cup, and with it concerns surrounding up to US$10 billion (Dh36.73bn) worth of investment and development contracts in the country.

Qatar's bid team outlined $77bn of spending on infrastructure to support the World Cup before it was named the host last year, but analysts say most of that money is earmarked for development projects that are going ahead independently of it.

Small item for big spender Qatar’s US$645.5 million (Dh2.37 billion) budget to host the Fifa World Cup is only the tip of iceberg. The GCC country is counting on the tournament in 2022 to spark a wide range of construction projects.

Stadiums Projected cost: $3bn

Tourism Projected cost: $17bn

Metro/Rail System Projected cost: $24bn

Roads Projected cost: $20bn

Airport Projected cost: $3bn

Total: $77bn

Source: 2022 World Cup bid report

They estimate that about $5bn to $10bn of development is contingent directly on football's biggest tournament, money that will go towards stadiums and hotels for anticipated legions of visitors.

While they are significant in scale, those are investments that the country could afford to lose given its small population and tiny tourism industry, said Farouk Soussa, the chief economist for the region at Citi.

"We've argued that there's little economic benefit in hosting the World Cup in Qatar," Mr Soussa said.

A big question for Qatar's World Cup bid was whether it really needed the 84,000 hotel rooms outlined in the country's bid report, according to a property analyst who asked not to be identified. Qatar currently has about 9,000 hotel rooms.

"To keep those rooms viable, they need to do much more to grow a sustainable tourism industry, and there is a question on whether that is necessary," the analyst said, while playing down the notion that the World Cup was of critical significance for the country's economic development.

"The World Cup itself is beneficial for the month it happens and as a stimulus for making infrastructure investment, hotel investment and improving the offering, but it's not going to be the overall solution," Mr Soussa said.

Fifa decided on Sunday to suspend Qatar's Mohammed bin Hammam, the head of the Asian Football Confederation, pending a full investigation into allegations of bribery involving his bid to replace Sepp Blatter as the head of world football's governing body.

Mr bin Hammam was not directly involved in Qatar's World Cup bid and he said yesterday he would appeal against the suspension.

The suspension comes just days after the GCC country's bid committee rejected claims of wrongdoing made in the British parliament.

"Since participating and succeeding in the bidding process, the bid committee has been subject to a variety of serious allegations.

"However, none of these allegations has ever been substantiated. Indeed, they have all been false," the Qatar bid committee said.

The main risk for Qatar springing from the cloud of allegations was perceptional, Mr Soussa said. Markets have already reacted negatively to Mr bin Hammam's suspension, with Qatar's main market index falling slightly by 0.24 per cent yesterday.

But Sebastien Henin, a portfolio manager at The National Investor in Abu Dhabi, said even the potential impact on markets was minimal. Qatari stocks are thinly traded, he said, adding that the World Cup effect had perhaps been overestimated.

"We saw a lot of figures after the World Cup announcement, but 70 or 80 per cent of this spending was already in the pipeline," he said.

The Fifa secretary general Jerome Valcke further fanned the flames of controversy yesterday when he confirmed the veracity of an e-mail he had sent to the vice president Jack Warner, who is also facing bribery charges, suggesting the 2022 World Cup was "bought" by Qatar.

"It was a private e-mail and we will discuss it.

"He sent me an e-mail asking if I want that [Mr bin Hammam to run], he said that I should ask Mr bin Hammam to pull out," Mr Valcke said in Zurich yesterday.

His comments came after an Australian politician urged his country's government to ask for a refund from Fifa after it spent A$46 million (Dh180.7m) on a failed bid to host the 2022 World Cup.

Nick Xenophon, an independent politician, said the bid could not succeed because of the corruption allegations within the organisation.

It is still unclear whether the investigations and allegations will affect Qatar's bid to host the World Cup.

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This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.

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Zakat: an Arabic word meaning ‘to cleanse’ or ‘purification’.

Nisab: the minimum amount that a Muslim must have before being obliged to pay zakat. Traditionally, the nisab threshold was 87.48 grams of gold, or 612.36 grams of silver. The monetary value of the nisab therefore varies by current prices and currencies.

Zakat Al Mal: the ‘cleansing’ of wealth, as one of the five pillars of Islam; a spiritual duty for all Muslims meeting the ‘nisab’ wealth criteria in a lunar year, to pay 2.5 per cent of their wealth in alms to the deserving and needy.

Zakat Al Fitr: a donation to charity given during Ramadan, before Eid Al Fitr, in the form of food. Every adult Muslim who possesses food in excess of the needs of themselves and their family must pay two qadahs (an old measure just over 2 kilograms) of flour, wheat, barley or rice from each person in a household, as a minimum.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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