Sabah Al Binali: When oil no longer delivers growth, venture capital can take over



Venture capital is critical to the future success of not only the UAE but also the GCC. To understand this we first need to understand the historic formula for our success – oil leads to financial capital, which leads to real estate development, which creates social and business communities that attract people. Repeat.

Even if oil prices had not collapsed, sooner or later the size of the economy would reach a level at which oil alone could not deliver growth. We have not reached a point of reckoning because oil prices halved, that only accelerated the inevitable.

The conventional argument is that SMEs are the engine for growth in any economy. Some might argue that the global conglomerates coupled with global trade are the engines for growth. Whatever idea you subscribe to, in the end one has to accept that whether you believe SMEs drive economic growth or whether it is large companies, the first step is starting that company. Put simply, without start-ups an economy cannot normally achieve sustainable growth.

Oil and the exponential growth of our nascent economies short-circuited the natural route to start-ups – which is venture capital backing entrepreneurs who build those businesses. Similarly, massive government infrastructure spending, a normal phenomenon in growing economies, allowed for returns with near-zero risk, which, in turn, led to generations expecting rewards without understanding let alone taking risks. It is time to pay the piper and transition from government-led economic growth to private sector-led growth, and entrepreneurs backed by venture capital are the tip of the spear.

I have lived and worked in Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Bahrain and Riyadh as well as having done a lot of business in Kuwait. The best strategy that I have seen for this transition is Bahrain’s. The first interesting step was the founding of the Economic Development Board (EDB) under the direction of crown prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa. As the name suggests, the EDB is tasked with developing the economy, but what is interesting, and quite different from its neighbours, is that the board is a mix of senior government officials and senior businessmen. The current chief executive, Khalid Al Rumaihi, is a veteran of Investcorp, the first major private equity player in the region and also based in Bahrain. Doing global deals but working with investors from across the region is basically the perfect profile to continue taking the EDB from success to success.

Equally interesting for Bahrain is that the previous chief executive of the EDB, Sheikh Mohammed bin Essa Al Khalifa, after having spent seven years building up the EDB from 2005-12, was in 2011 appointed chairman of Tamkeen, which focuses on building up the private sector component of economic growth. This continuity allows for the interlinking of important government initiatives. Just as importantly, recruiting fresh experience in the form of Al Rumaihi and rotating developed experience in the form of Sheikh Mohammed bin Essa helps to foster integrated innovation in developing the economy.

To my mind two of the most important steps that Bahrain has undertaken to make it easier for entrepreneurs to launch their start-ups are that costs are reasonable and regulations are effective and efficient.

Bahrain ignored building an infrastructure for rich global companies filled with regional sales teams. Instead, it built an ecosystem friendly to the VCs. Carlyle and KKR may be based in DIFC, but 500 Startups Middle East, part of the global VC firm, is based in Manama and run by a veteran of another regional Bahraini blueblood financial services firm, Sico.

The key for entrepreneurs, of course, is the availability of venture capital and for that the central bank of Bahrain has done an outstanding job of being well ahead of the curve in evolving its regulations to keep pace with the global developments.

The first time I set up a company I moved to Bahrain to do it, leaving the UAE because Bahrain was far easier to set up in and far better integrated from a business perspective to the dominant economy in Mena – Saudi Arabia. Competitive advantages for VCs to set up in Bahrain remain.

This brings us full circle to the UAE and the question of how VC is supported. Some point to the new VC law, but I cannot find a copy and every report that I have seen discusses funds, not the investment management companies that are necessary to incorporate and manage such funds. It is important that improving regulations for funds needs to be matched by improving regulations for the investment companies. This is why I support Bahrain’s method of first allowing a dialogue around business and second allowing investors and entrepreneurs a voice in such dialogues to complement the view of the technocrats.

Sabah Al Binali is an active investor and entrepreneurial leader with a track record of growing companies in the Mena region. You can read more of his thoughts at al-binali.com

business@thenational.ae

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Jonathan Gornall, Simon & Schuster

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

German intelligence warnings
  • 2002: "Hezbollah supporters feared becoming a target of security services because of the effects of [9/11] ... discussions on Hezbollah policy moved from mosques into smaller circles in private homes." Supporters in Germany: 800
  • 2013: "Financial and logistical support from Germany for Hezbollah in Lebanon supports the armed struggle against Israel ... Hezbollah supporters in Germany hold back from actions that would gain publicity." Supporters in Germany: 950
  • 2023: "It must be reckoned with that Hezbollah will continue to plan terrorist actions outside the Middle East against Israel or Israeli interests." Supporters in Germany: 1,250 

Source: Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution

The specs

Price, base / as tested Dh1,470,000 (est)
Engine 6.9-litre twin-turbo W12
Gearbox eight-speed automatic
Power 626bhp @ 6,000rpm
Torque: 900Nm @ 1,350rpm
Fuel economy, combined 14.0L / 100km

Electric scooters: some rules to remember
  • Riders must be 14-years-old or over
  • Wear a protective helmet
  • Park the electric scooter in designated parking lots (if any)
  • Do not leave electric scooter in locations that obstruct traffic or pedestrians
  • Solo riders only, no passengers allowed
  • Do not drive outside designated lanes