Mark-to-market marked for destruction?



Emirates Business 24/7 has turned out a gem. It's all about mark-to-market accounting.

Mark-to-market accounting (aka fair-value accounting) has been a standard of modern accounting since the early 1990s. It says that you have to put down the current value of your assets on your balance sheet, even if you haven't yet realized the loss (or gain) on those assets. So, for example, if I bought Dh1m in stocks five years ago and they're now worth Dh500,000, I (as a company) have to record them as a Dh500,000 loss, even though I haven't yet actually sold the shares and locked in the loss. Two years from now, they could be worth Dh1m again, and I may plan to hold them for more than 10 years. Yet I still must record fluctuations in the price of that asset on the company's balance sheet.

What are the benefits of mark-to-market? Mainly, it gives analysts and investors an accurate snapshot of a company's current financial position. To return to the example above, it'd be hard to argue that I was giving you a true picture of my financial condition if I booked my Dh1m investment as still worth Dh1m. It may have the potential to rise to its former heights, but that's just not where it is now. In a similar vein, if property and financial companies in the GCC, which have taken big fair-value losses, were to book the value of their land and investments assuming their values were the same as at the time of purchase, it wouldn't quite reflect the reality: they couldn't get that price on the market now. Raj Madha, an EFG-Hermes analyst, argues persuasively for mark-to-market in the Emirates Business article.

The naysayers, meanwhile, have been putting huge pressure on international accounting regulatory bodies to change the rules. They say mark-to-market is flawed principally because of its bias towards short-term earnings and the disincentives it places on long-term investments. Paul Koster, the CEO of the Dubai Financial Services Authority, a regulatory body similar to the FSA in the UK, is against it. So are lots of powerful people across the globe. And they do have a point. If companies' earnings are going to be affected by the current market value of assets they don't plan on selling anytime soon, they'll be loath to invest for the long term. If I put my money in a Dh1m investment that I know will be volatile in the short term but that I expect to make huge gains in, say, 10 years, I could be punished severely on the balance sheet in the interim - when it declines to Dh500,000 in year two, for example. Worse yet, the market for the asset could completely disappear, or it could be an investment that inherently lacks a ready market. And yet mark-to-market forces you to book a value for it.

The arguments both for and against fair-value accounting are powerful. On the one hand, it's a good idea for companies to be forced to disclose their current financial positions as accurately as possible. On the other, it'd be foolish to steer companies away from sensible long-term investments for fear of how fair-value accounting will affect their bottom lines.

Any way you slice it, it's certainly an interesting debate. And kudos to Emirates Business for delving into it.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Without Remorse

Directed by: Stefano Sollima

Starring: Michael B Jordan

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Indoor cricket in a nutshell
Indoor Cricket World Cup - Sept 16-20, Insportz, Dubai

16 Indoor cricket matches are 16 overs per side
8 There are eight players per team
9 There have been nine Indoor Cricket World Cups for men. Australia have won every one.
5 Five runs are deducted from the score when a wickets falls
4 Batsmen bat in pairs, facing four overs per partnership

Scoring In indoor cricket, runs are scored by way of both physical and bonus runs. Physical runs are scored by both batsmen completing a run from one crease to the other. Bonus runs are scored when the ball hits a net in different zones, but only when at least one physical run is score.

Zones

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8.50pm: Dubai Millennium Stakes – Group 3 (TB) $130,000 (T) 2,000m; Winner: Star Safari, William Buick, Charlie Appleby

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The specs: 2018 Volkswagen Teramont

Price, base / as tested Dh137,000 / Dh189,950

Engine 3.6-litre V6

Gearbox Eight-speed automatic

Power 280hp @ 6,200rpm

Torque 360Nm @ 2,750rpm

Fuel economy, combined 11.7L / 100km

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