Bankers are finally feeling the pinch after three years of bumper profits and big bonuses despite government bailouts in the wake of the global financial downturn.
Major western lenders have announced more than 69,000 job cuts this year as they trim costs in anticipation of lower revenues.
The carnage is sweeping both sides of the Atlantic, with big layoffs at HSBC and Lloyds Banking Group in London and Bank of America and Goldman Sachs in the US. But the trouble is most pronounced in Europe, where a sovereign debt crisis continues to rattle policymakers and global markets.
"Almost every bank [in Europe] will be under-capitalised when faced with a raft of sovereign debt restructurings," says Jaap Meijer, an analyst at AlembicHC in Dubai.
"Key to resolving the crisis is addressing the sovereign risk, not endless strengthening of bank's balance sheets. The lesson of 2008 is that the later we act, the more we have to do."
HSBC, the world's second-biggest bank by market capitalisation, announced 30,000 job cuts on August 1, including 5,000 this year and 25,000 by the end of 2013. The British high street lender Lloyds Banking Group is cutting 15,000 jobs, joining UBS, Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland, ABN Amro and Credit Suisse in the ranks of big European banks paring back their workforces this summer.
In the US, Bank of America announced 6,000 cuts last month. Wells Fargo, the Bank of New York Mellon and Goldman Sachs are also reducing headcounts.
The reasons for the cutbacks vary. Although most US banks are profitable, revenues are dropping as customers avoid taking on new debt.
Customers and businesses learnt a lesson about borrowing too much during the financial crisis, and they are now saving and paying off debt.
So far this year, financial companies in the US have announced 14,252 layoffs, according to July data from the consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas. That did not include the layoffs that Bank of America revealed last month.
European lenders face the same pressures, which have increased since the continent's sovereign debt crisis. Jean-Claude Trichet, the head of the European Central Bank (ECB), reiterated last week that lenders had ample cash, but the system remains strained. Eight European banks failed a second round of stress-tests in July, and many more barely passed.
"The recent European stress test has done little to allay investors' concerns about their ability to withstand a default by a European government," says Mr Meijer.
The sovereign debt crisis has hit some countries in Europe hard, including Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain.
After the EU and IMF arranged a second bailout for Greece this year, the ECB last month restarted a bond-buying programme to lower borrowing costs for the continent's troubled countries. A sovereign default has so far been averted. Yet it remains unclear how long Germany and France can continue to support the euro zone's laggards.
Banks in the US and Europe are also facing mounting legal problems. Government-backed mortgage companies - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - in the US are suing 17 big banks for US$196 billion (Dh719.91bn), alleging the banks misrepresented the soundness of home loans bought by the mortgage firms.
As job cuts figures balloon, bank executives are invoking the rhetoric of austerity and efficiency.
Lloyds is trying to save $2.4bn through spending cuts, most of which will come in the form of layoffs in the UK and a retreat from international markets.
"Lloyds must become leaner, more agile and more responsive," Antonio Horta-Osorio, the bank's chief executive, said last month. That would force the bank to refocus on its home UK market and "reduce our international presence" while selling off operations deemed inessential.
The turmoil for European and American banks has yet to hit the Middle East, and analysts do not expect it to have a major impact here. HSBC cut 68 UAE jobs in April, but Raj Madha, an analyst at Rasmala in Dubai, says the region's lenders faced a fundamentally different set of challenges than their western peers.
"I wouldn't say it is happening here, because cost-to-income ratios are still very low, profitability and capital are both high and the struggle is for growth, not profitability," says Mr Madha.
Banks in the Gulf have had their share of troubles during the financial downturn, most notably those involving Dubai's struggle with debt.
Loans to the emirate's state-owned companies, including Dubai World, have had to be restructured and extended. Many customers have lost their jobs and defaulted. And companies have seen business dry up, which has in some cases pushed them into insolvency.
The region's lenders responded by firming up their balance sheets with the help of government cash injections. Loan-to-deposit ratios - rough measures of banks' capital cushions - have strengthened. Provisions set aside to cover bad loans rose to Dh47.3bn in June, up from Dh32.6bn at the end of 2009.
"We continue to believe the Mena [Middle East and North Africa] banks are well capitalised, and are in a much better shape than US and European banks," says Mr Meijer.
Unlike in the West, revenues at Middle Eastern banks are beginning to recover. Regional banks also have a lot of money to lend.
The worry is how these banks will stay strong while taking risks on local companies and individuals when the global backdrop is so shaky.
afitch@thenational.ae
Company%20Profile
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'Morbius'
Director: Daniel Espinosa
Stars: Jared Leto, Matt Smith, Adria Arjona
Rating: 2/5
The%20specs
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2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups
Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.
Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.
Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.
Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, Leon.
Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.
Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.
Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.
Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
Kanguva
Director: Siva
Stars: Suriya, Bobby Deol, Disha Patani, Yogi Babu, Redin Kingsley
How to register as a donor
1) Organ donors can register on the Hayat app, run by the Ministry of Health and Prevention
2) There are about 11,000 patients in the country in need of organ transplants
3) People must be over 21. Emiratis and residents can register.
4) The campaign uses the hashtag #donate_hope
The Transfiguration
Director: Michael O’Shea
Starring: Eric Ruffin, Chloe Levine
Three stars
Emergency
Director: Kangana Ranaut
Stars: Kangana Ranaut, Anupam Kher, Shreyas Talpade, Milind Soman, Mahima Chaudhry
Rating: 2/5
if you go
The flights
Direct flights from the UAE to the Nepalese capital, Kathmandu, are available with Air Arabia, (www.airarabia.com) Fly Dubai (www.flydubai.com) or Etihad (www.etihad.com) from Dh1,200 return including taxes. The trek described here started from Jomson, but there are many other start and end point variations depending on how you tailor your trek. To get to Jomson from Kathmandu you must first fly to the lake-side resort town of Pokhara with either Buddha Air (www.buddhaair.com) or Yeti Airlines (www.yetiairlines.com). Both charge around US$240 (Dh880) return. From Pokhara there are early morning flights to Jomson with Yeti Airlines or Simrik Airlines (www.simrikairlines.com) for around US$220 (Dh800) return.
The trek
Restricted area permits (US$500 per person) are required for trekking in the Upper Mustang area. The challenging Meso Kanto pass between Tilcho Lake and Jomson should not be attempted by those without a lot of mountain experience and a good support team. An excellent trekking company with good knowledge of Upper Mustang, the Annaurpuna Circuit and Tilcho Lake area and who can help organise a version of the trek described here is the Nepal-UK run Snow Cat Travel (www.snowcattravel.com). Prices vary widely depending on accommodation types and the level of assistance required.
The specs: 2017 Porsche 718 Cayman
Price, base / as tested Dh222,500 / Dh296,870
Engine 2.0L, flat four-cylinder
Transmission Seven-speed PDK
Power 300hp @ 6,500rpm
Torque 380hp @ 1,950rpm
Fuel economy, combined 6.9L / 100km
A State of Passion
Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi
Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah
Rating: 4/5
Dr Afridi's warning signs of digital addiction
Spending an excessive amount of time on the phone.
Neglecting personal, social, or academic responsibilities.
Losing interest in other activities or hobbies that were once enjoyed.
Having withdrawal symptoms like feeling anxious, restless, or upset when the technology is not available.
Experiencing sleep disturbances or changes in sleep patterns.
What are the guidelines?
Under 18 months: Avoid screen time altogether, except for video chatting with family.
Aged 18-24 months: If screens are introduced, it should be high-quality content watched with a caregiver to help the child understand what they are seeing.
Aged 2-5 years: Limit to one-hour per day of high-quality programming, with co-viewing whenever possible.
Aged 6-12 years: Set consistent limits on screen time to ensure it does not interfere with sleep, physical activity, or social interactions.
Teenagers: Encourage a balanced approach – screens should not replace sleep, exercise, or face-to-face socialisation.
Source: American Paediatric Association
LIVING IN...
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.