UK’s FTSE 100 breaks out despite election uncertainty



The opinion polls are currently pointing to an uncertain outcome in the United Kingdom’s general election next month, with a strong likelihood of no outright winner, and possibly the formation of a minority government.

Such political uncertainty is usually not good for equities, but this does not seem to be the case.

The UK’s FTSE 100 index is now trading higher than it ever has, in line with global equity markets, which are gaining upside momentum with more and more indexes breaking out to all-time highs. Easy monetary policy, applied by central banks globally, has helped to inflate asset prices, with developed markets the major beneficiaries in the past couple of years.

Equities are trading above all-time highs is what technical analysts call “uncharted territory”. Here indexes are subject to minimal resistance, because all equity investors are in profit and there is no pressure to exit at break-even levels.

Demand for securities tends to outstrip supply.

Before recent trading sessions, the FTSE 100 index had not traded above 6,950 levels since 2000.

The coming weeks are now important. If the index can remain clear of this 15-year resistance level, on a monthly closing basis, we are likely to see a multiyear uptrend.

Of course, the general election on May 7 – and the probability of a period of uncertainty before the formation of a government – remains a major hurdle for investors to cross. But such a significant breakout by a major widely followed index, would add to positive sentiment across global equities.

Aksel Kibar is a technical strategist at the Abu Dhabi-based asset manager Invest AD

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An exchange traded fund is a type of investment fund that can be traded quickly and easily, just like stocks and shares. They come with no upfront costs aside from your brokerage's dealing charges and annual fees, which are far lower than on traditional mutual investment funds. Charges are as low as 0.03 per cent on one of the very cheapest (and most popular), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, with the maximum around 0.75 per cent.

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The first ETF was launched as recently as 1993, but the sector boasted $5.78 billion in assets under management at the end of September as inflows hit record highs, according to the latest figures from ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm.

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While the best-known track major indices such as MSCI World, the S&P 500 and FTSE 100, you can also invest in specific countries or regions, large, medium or small companies, government bonds, gold, crude oil, cocoa, water, carbon, cattle, corn futures, currency shifts or even a stock market crash. 

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Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

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- top end schools tend to pay Dh16,000-17,000 a month - plus a monthly housing allowance of up to Dh6,000. These tend to be British curriculum schools rated 'outstanding' or 'very good', followed by American schools

- average salary across curriculums and skill levels is about Dh10,000, recruiters say

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Friday, November 1 – Oman v UAE
Sunday, November 3 – UAE v Netherlands
Thursday, November 7 – UAE v Oman
Saturday, November 9 – Netherlands v UAE

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From: Lonely Loris is a Sunda slow loris, one of nine species of the animal native to Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore

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