UAE bourses advance despite oil slide to $45 a barrel



The UAE’s bourses rose yesterday, despite a further fall in oil to US$45 per barrel.

The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange rose 1.4 per cent, while the Dubai Financial Market gained 1.7 per cent.

“Some people have said that this is a decoupling of UAE equities from the oil price,” said Sanyalaksna Manibhandu, the chief equities analyst at National Bank of Abu Dhabi. “In Saudi Arabia stocks aren’t going down to the same extent as oil, either.”

The Saudi Tadawul Index gained 0.7 per cent yesterday.

Emaar Properties led gains on the DFM, rising 4.2 per cent. Arabtec rose 3.7 per cent, and Shuaa Capital gained 3.3 per cent. Sixteen stocks rose yesterday, against six decliners.

The same number of stocks on the ADX advanced, led by Arkan Building Materials, which gained 10.8 per cent. Seven stocks fell, and 38 remained unchanged. The index is down 0.4 per cent since the beginning of the year.

Lower oil prices and looming US and UAE interest rate rises may be good for banks, said Mr Manibhandu.

Bank stocks rose yesterday, with NBAD and Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank gaining more than 4 per cent on the ADX, and Ajman Bank, Dubai Islamic Bank and Shuaa Capital rising on the DFM.

Mr Manibhandu said that any fall in loan issuance resulting from low oil prices would likely be compensated by companies trying to lock in debt before interest rates rise later this year.

The entrance of investors looking for dividends, or taking positions ahead of fourth quarter results, could also explain yesterday’s rally, he said.

The Qatari Exchange and the Kuwait Securities Exchange both closed up 0.2 per cent yesterday. Bourses in Beirut, Muscat, Tunis and Manama fell.

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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million 
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A State of Passion

Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi

Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah

Rating: 4/5

Europe’s rearming plan
  • Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
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  • Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
  • Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
  • Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital
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Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
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Company name: Marefa Digital

Based: Dubai Multi Commodities Centre

Number of employees: seven

Sector: e-learning

Funding stage: Pre-seed funding of Dh1.5m in 2017 and an initial seed round of Dh2m in 2019

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”