Traded values at the Dubai bourse reached Dh713 million (US$194.1m), a two-year high for the exchange. Jaime Puebla / The National
Traded values at the Dubai bourse reached Dh713 million (US$194.1m), a two-year high for the exchange. Jaime Puebla / The National

Share trade in Dubai hits new high as volumes rise



Trading in shares has made a big comeback in Dubai with the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) recording strong volumes yesterday.

The news comes as the emirate's bull market continues into its seventh week, bringing a reprieve for the emirate's loss-making stock exchanges.

Traded values reached Dh713 million (US$194.1m), a two-year high for the exchange.

The bounce comes at a welcome time for Dubai Financial Market Company, the Gulf's only listed stock exchange, where revenue fell by one third as trading activity dwindled. DFM Group, including its subsidiary Nasdaq Dubai, reported a net loss of Dh6.9m for last year, compared with a profit of Dh78.9m a year earlier.

Stocks on the DFM General Index have risen 23.8 per cent since the start of the year, entering a bull run on January 16. The index rose 2.7 per cent yesterday to 1,676.49.

Dubai stocks closed at their highest since April, surpassing levels reached last June before the UAE was denied an upgrade to "emerging market" status by the index provider MSCI.

The rally vindicated a sense that local stocks were due for a correction, amid stronger-than-expected company earnings and a burst of spending by the Abu Dhabi Government, said Fathi ben Grira, the chief executive at Menacorp, a financial services firm based in Abu Dhabi.

"It had to happen one day," he said.

But the recent rally encouraged a return of investors who had eschewed trading in local markets since the onset of the global financial crisis, particularly at the high-net-worth end of the market, Mr ben Grira said.

"Accounts that have been inactive for two to three years have been reactivated," he said.

Dubai's stock market was one of the most active in the region before the global financial crisis, but the withdrawal of speculative "hot money" around the time of the crash has resulted in low volumes since 2008.

Even given yesterday's increase, the value of stocks traded remained a fraction of the Dh10.9 billion traded at the peak of activity in November 2007.

Saudi Arabia has also benefited from a surge in liquidity, with daily trading values on the Tadawul All-Share Index crossing the $3bn mark for the third time in the past seven days as traders anticipate a loosening of restrictions on international investors this year.

However, the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) has languished, with volumes remaining relatively low. The ADX General Index has gained 7 per cent since the start of the year, and rallied 1.2 per cent yesterday to 2,571.58.

Many investors avoided local markets over the past year despite improving fundamentals in the region, largely as a result of external shocks, said Daniel Rudd, the head of Middle East and North Africa wholesale at HSBC Global Asset Management.

"Local investors have not only been keeping an eye on the European debt crisis, but have also been sitting on the sidelines awaiting the outcome of the Arab Spring," he said.

Amid the weak market activity, banks including HSBC Middle East and Shuaa Capital have wound down their retail brokerages to focus on institutional clients.

About half of the UAE's brokerages ceased operating last year after a period when they proliferated, eroding potential economies of scale.

The improvement in market liquidity, if sustained, may also go some way towards alleviating the concerns of MSCI about the reclassification of the UAE as an emerging market. The index provider said in December that it would consider levels of trading in its review of the UAE and Qatar exchanges, due in June.

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Greatest of All Time
Starring: Vijay, Sneha, Prashanth, Prabhu Deva, Mohan
Director: Venkat Prabhu
Rating: 2/5
The Perfect Couple

Starring: Nicole Kidman, Liev Schreiber, Jack Reynor

Creator: Jenna Lamia

Rating: 3/5

Honeymoonish
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Elie%20El%20Samaan%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ENour%20Al%20Ghandour%2C%20Mahmoud%20Boushahri%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%203%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
How to protect yourself when air quality drops

Install an air filter in your home.

Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

Wear a face mask.

Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: ARDH Collective
Based: Dubai
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Sector: Sustainability
Total funding: Self funded
Number of employees: 4
Our legal consultant

Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

The specs: 2019 Subaru Forester

Price, base: Dh105,900 (Premium); Dh115,900 (Sport)

Engine: 2.5-litre four-cylinder

Transmission: Continuously variable transmission

Power: 182hp @ 5,800rpm

Torque: 239Nm @ 4,400rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 8.1L / 100km (estimated)

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Why it pays to compare

A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.

Route 1: bank transfer

The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.

Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount

Total received: €4,670.30 

Route 2: online platform

The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.

Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction

Total received: €4,756

The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.

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Company%20Profile
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EName%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20HyveGeo%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202023%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Abdulaziz%20bin%20Redha%2C%20Dr%20Samsurin%20Welch%2C%20Eva%20Morales%20and%20Dr%20Harjit%20Singh%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ECambridge%20and%20Dubai%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ENumber%20of%20employees%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%208%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ESustainability%20%26amp%3B%20Environment%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunding%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E%24200%2C000%20plus%20undisclosed%20grant%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EVenture%20capital%20and%20government%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The Buckingham Murders

Starring: Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ash Tandon, Prabhleen Sandhu

Director: Hansal Mehta

Rating: 4 / 5

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

How Tesla’s price correction has hit fund managers

Investing in disruptive technology can be a bumpy ride, as investors in Tesla were reminded on Friday, when its stock dropped 7.5 per cent in early trading to $575.

It recovered slightly but still ended the week 15 per cent lower and is down a third from its all-time high of $883 on January 26. The electric car maker’s market cap fell from $834 billion to about $567bn in that time, a drop of an astonishing $267bn, and a blow for those who bought Tesla stock late.

The collapse also hit fund managers that have gone big on Tesla, notably the UK-based Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF.

Tesla is the top holding in both funds, making up a hefty 10 per cent of total assets under management. Both funds have fallen by a quarter in the past month.

Matt Weller, global head of market research at GAIN Capital, recently warned that Tesla founder Elon Musk had “flown a bit too close to the sun”, after getting carried away by investing $1.5bn of the company’s money in Bitcoin.

He also predicted Tesla’s sales could struggle as traditional auto manufacturers ramp up electric car production, destroying its first mover advantage.

AJ Bell’s Russ Mould warns that many investors buy tech stocks when earnings forecasts are rising, almost regardless of valuation. “When it works, it really works. But when it goes wrong, elevated valuations leave little or no downside protection.”

A Tesla correction was probably baked in after last year’s astonishing share price surge, and many investors will see this as an opportunity to load up at a reduced price.

Dramatic swings are to be expected when investing in disruptive technology, as Ms Wood at ARK makes clear.

Every week, she sends subscribers a commentary listing “stocks in our strategies that have appreciated or dropped more than 15 per cent in a day” during the week.

Her latest commentary, issued on Friday, showed seven stocks displaying extreme volatility, led by ExOne, a leader in binder jetting 3D printing technology. It jumped 24 per cent, boosted by news that fellow 3D printing specialist Stratasys had beaten fourth-quarter revenues and earnings expectations, seen as good news for the sector.

By contrast, computational drug and material discovery company Schrödinger fell 27 per cent after quarterly and full-year results showed its core software sales and drug development pipeline slowing.

Despite that setback, Ms Wood remains positive, arguing that its “medicinal chemistry platform offers a powerful and unique view into chemical space”.

In her weekly video view, she remains bullish, stating that: “We are on the right side of change, and disruptive innovation is going to deliver exponential growth trajectories for many of our companies, in fact, most of them.”

Ms Wood remains committed to Tesla as she expects global electric car sales to compound at an average annual rate of 82 per cent for the next five years.

She said these are so “enormous that some people find them unbelievable”, and argues that this scepticism, especially among institutional investors, “festers” and creates a great opportunity for ARK.

Only you can decide whether you are a believer or a festering sceptic. If it’s the former, then buckle up.


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