Irish dairy products on display at the Choithrams supermarket on Al Wasl Road in Dubai. Pawan Singh / The National
Irish dairy products on display at the Choithrams supermarket on Al Wasl Road in Dubai. Pawan Singh / The National

Irish dairy farmers target Middle East after removal of EU milk production quotas



Irish dairy farmers are looking to the supermarkets of the Arabian Gulf to help make up for 30 years of lost time.

The removal last week of production quotas first introduced by the European Union in 1984 is expected to trigger a huge increase in Irish dairy production – much of it destined for the Middle East.

Irish dairy exports to the Arabian Gulf could jump by 50 per cent over the next five years, predicts Michael Hussey, the Dubai-based regional manager of Bord Bia, the Irish food board.

Milk quotas were introduced in 1984 to reduce the so-called milk lakes and butter mountains that started to emerge in the 1970s, when European milk production outstripped demand.

Agricultural exporters such as Ireland and the Netherlands stand to be the biggest beneficiaries from the removal of quotas across the European Union last week.

“There will definitely be a big impact here,” said Mr Hussey. “The Middle East will be the target for much of the increased production.”

Total exports of dairy products from Ireland into GCC countries jumped 28 per cent last year to €247 million (Dh988.3m), according to Bord Bia estimates.

Irish dairy products such as Kerrygold butter and Irish Farmhouse cheese are increasingly visible on the region’s supermarket shelves.

The rise in Irish food exports to the Gulf will bring exporters from the country into closer competition with New Zealand, which dominates the regional market.

When milk quotas were introduced in 1984, Irish milk production was roughly the same as it is today – about 5.4 billion litres per year.

Over the same period, annual production in New Zealand surged to 19 billion litres from 7.6 billion litres.

The Irish agriculture minister Simon Coveney described the removal of the quotas as “the most fundamental change to Irish agriculture in a generation”.

GCC markets such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia are drawing increased attention from global food producers as growing populations, rising incomes and improved land and sea freight connections stoke demand for imports.

A regional hotel building boom that has Dubai at its centre is also driving demand for food products.

The rapid growth in air travel to hubs such as Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi is making it easier for exporters to bring fresh produce from Europe, North America and Australasia to the dinner tables of the region at affordable prices.

Bord Bia last week hosted a group of buyers of food ingredients from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, and plans to take another group of UAE companies to Ireland this year.

scronin@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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