MASHHAD, IRAN // Sheikh Majid Al Mualla was adamant. “We are a commercial organisation, not political. We leave all that to the politicians. As far as we’re concerned, this will enhance trade between the UAE and Iran, and will introduce new customers to Emirates airline. That’s the reason for it,” he insisted.
He was speaking in the VIP terminal at Mashhad airport, in the far east of Iran. He had just flown in on the inaugural Emirates flight from Dubai to Iran's second city, and celebrated the new flight with prayers, photocalls and pledges of cooperation and friendship.
Of course, Sheikh Majid, as a member of the ruling family of Umm Al Quwain as well as a 20-year executive of Dubai’s fast-growing airline, will have been aware of the broader background to the Mashhad inaugural: the breakthrough in talks between the western powers and Iran that led to a deal in July to lift economic sanctions imposed because of Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
But Sheikh Majid was sticking firmly to the commercial case. “There may be reservations in some areas about the deal, but we do not get involved in that. It is wonderful to be here and very positive for all of us,” he told Iranian administrators and businessmen, as well as a cross-section of UAE media.
As if to underline his point, he made clear that the decision to fly to Mashhad had been taken months before the July deal to lift sanctions, and had only to wait for the final clearance from bilateral talks between Iran and the UAE. “We’ve had incredible support from government organisations on both sides, and I’d like to thank them,” he told the VIPs in Mashhad.
The commercial case for the new route – Emirates’ 148th – seems watertight. Mashhad has a population of more than three million, and a history of trade and commerce going back centuries to the days of the old Silk Road between China and Europe.
The city is an exporting hub in a region that has strengths in agricultural and craft industries, but which is also a growing manufacturing and assembly base for the car and other consumer industries. All this will get a significant boost if sanctions are finally and fully lifted in a few months’ time.
Mashhad is also a major centre for Shia Islamic tourism, with millions of visitors coming from other parts of Iran, as well as the Arabian Gulf and other countries that have big Shia populations, to visit its shrines. “And I’m convinced more non-religious tourists will come once they hear of the wonders of Mashhad,” said the Iranian ambassador to the UAE, Mohammad Reza Fayyaz, who was also on the inaugural flight.
There are other advantages too, as Sheikh Majid spelt out. His responsibility at Emirates is as senior vice president of commercial operations at the “centre” grouping of the airline, which includes the Middle East and south central Asia. But there has been something of a gap at the heart of that network, as Emirates has stayed away from some of the big countries such as Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. The Mashhad service goes some way to filling that gap.
It will allow tourists and business travellers in central Asia to plug into Emirates’ worldwide network that serves the Iranian diaspora in Australia, Europe and North America. “By boosting air-transport links from Mashhad to the increasingly connected world economy, we are contributing to the growth of international trade, tourism and investment,” Sheikh Majid said.
There will be an immediate boost to UAE-Iran trade. In addition to about 250 passengers each way, the Airbus A330 that flies the route five days a week will have space for 150 tonnes of cargo per week in its belly hold, enhancing significantly the already considerable freight trade that goes between Dubai and Tehran. Emirates has been flying to the Iranian capital since 1990, and now operates four flights per day.
If the benefits are so obvious, and the global political climate is thawing with regard to Iran, maybe it’s time already to think of adding a third Iranian city to Emirates’ network? Indeed there was some talk in Mashhad of Isfahan as an imminent target.
Sheikh Majid is guarded on this possibility. “We look at potential routes all the time. We have maybe 50 under consideration at any one time. A lot of different factors go to decide a new route. Isfahan is a possibility, but there are other options too. And our priority at the moment is to make Mashhad successful and Tehran even more successful,” he said.
The region he oversees has had its own unique set of challenges in recent years. “We have had to suspend services to Syria, Libya and Yemen. But the Arab Spring has also been advantageous in some ways. People are flying to Dubai now rather than Damascus or Beirut. We are lucky to have moveable assets, unlike the hotel industry for example. We can deploy the assets, the planes, elsewhere when times get tough.”
He has also been following the continuing spat between Gulf airlines and American carriers over allegations of unfair subsidies by Emirates and others. “I think we have given a very strong response and are now waiting a response from the US government.”
But as in Iran, Emirates has not let politics interfere with its ambitious commercial plans, as Sheikh Majid is quick to point out. “Mashhad was not the only inaugural today, we also launched the service to Orlando, Florida,” he said.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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PROFILE OF HALAN
Started: November 2017
Founders: Mounir Nakhla, Ahmed Mohsen and Mohamed Aboulnaga
Based: Cairo, Egypt
Sector: transport and logistics
Size: 150 employees
Investment: approximately $8 million
Investors include: Singapore’s Battery Road Digital Holdings, Egypt’s Algebra Ventures, Uber co-founder and former CTO Oscar Salazar
MATCH INFO
Champions League quarter-final, first leg
Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City, Tuesday, 11pm (UAE)
Matches can be watched on BeIN Sports
PROFILE BOX:
Company/date started: 2015
Founder/CEO: Rami Salman, Rishav Jalan, Ayush Chordia
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Technology, Sales, Voice, Artificial Intelligence
Size: (employees/revenue) 10/ 100,000 downloads
Stage: 1 ($800,000)
Investors: Eight first-round investors including, Beco Capital, 500 Startups, Dubai Silicon Oasis, Hala Fadel, Odin Financial Services, Dubai Angel Investors, Womena, Arzan VC
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