Leaders of the world’s 20 biggest economies are preparing to discuss the most pressing global socio-economic issues this week at the G20 Summit, as the Covid-19 health crisis and the its economic reverberations continue.
The two-day summit under the theme of 'Realising Opportunities of the 21st Century for All', hosted by Saudi Arabia is taking place on November 21 and 22 and focuses on empowering people, safeguarding the planet, and shaping new frontiers. Global leaders will be convene virtually instead of arriving in Riyadh due to the pandemic.
The health crisis has already forced major global events to be postponed until next year or move to an online. Both the spring and fall meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank were held virtually this year, the World Economic Forum postponed its Davos January gathering to next summer, while both the Tokyo Olympics and Dubai's Expo 2020 were moved to 2021.
The G20 summit is happening as Covid-19 continues to spread almost a year after it was first detected in China. The second wave of the pandemic has hit parts of Asia, the Middle East, Europe and the Americas, sending some of Europe's biggest economies back into lockdowns.
The summit offers a chance for global leaders to reflect on what has been achieved since they agreed to “spare no efforts” to overcome the pandemic in a March 26 meeting and ways of reviving the global economy.
Since March, governments have rolled out nearly $12 trillion in fiscal stimulus, supported by about $7.5tn in monetary actions by central banks. The measures have helped shore up the world's banking system, safeguard financial markets and put a floor under the global economy.
The G20 consists of 19 countries – Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Republic of Korea, Turkey, the UK and the US – and the European Union.
The group accounts for 85 per cent of the world's gross domestic product. In June, it pledged more than $21bn towards diagnostics, vaccines, and therapeutics to fight the pandemic.
Governments and regulators have worked closely with pharmaceutical companies and there is now hope of a Covid-19 vaccine becoming widely available soon.
US biotechnology company Moderna on Monday said its Covid-19 vaccine was 94.5 per cent effective against the virus in its preliminary late-stage clinical trial. Pfizer and BioNTech, and Russia's Sputnik V vaccine maker both said last week that early trial results of their vaccines recorded efficacy rates of more than 90 per cent.
Covid-19 has infected about 56 million people and killed over 1.34 million. The virus has tipped the global economy into its worst recession since the 1930s. The International Monetary Fund expects global output to shrink 4.4 per cent this year and recover only modestly in 2021.
The Riyadh Summit will “set the foundations for a more inclusive, more resilient, and more sustainable recovery from the Covid-19 crisis,” the G20 said in a statement on Monday. “This will result in a stronger and better world, where we can realise the opportunities of the 21st century for all.”
In April, G20 members agreed a Debt Suspension Service Initiative (DSSI) aimed at helping the world's poorest countries. G20 nations agreed to a time-bound suspension of debt repayments from 44 countries, making $14bn in funds available to fighting the pandemic instead of servicing debt.
Earlier this month, G20 finance ministers and central bank governors agreed on a new joint framework to restructure government debt owed by these nations.
In the lead up to the Riyadh summit, the G20 Presidency has hosted ministerial and other meetings on topics including agriculture, the digital economy, energy, environment, employment, finance, health, tourism and trade. These meetings will help to shape discussions, policy development and the final G20 leaders’ declaration.
Topics being discussed during the summit range from securing a future for the world’s coral reefs to dual challenges of energy and the climate, the empowerment of women, opportunities for the youth, pandemic preparedness and the circular carbon economy.
Officials from international organisations including the International Monetary Fund, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, the UN, the World Bank, the World Health Organisation and the World Trade Organisation are also attending the summit.
The G20 has also invited representatives of regional bodies including the Arab Monetary Fund, the Islamic Development Bank, the African Union and the Gulf Cooperation Council to attend the summit.
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VEZEETA PROFILE
Date started: 2012
Founder: Amir Barsoum
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: HealthTech / MedTech
Size: 300 employees
Funding: $22.6 million (as of September 2018)
Investors: Technology Development Fund, Silicon Badia, Beco Capital, Vostok New Ventures, Endeavour Catalyst, Crescent Enterprises’ CE-Ventures, Saudi Technology Ventures and IFC
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What should do investors do now?
What does the S&P 500's new all-time high mean for the average investor?
Should I be euphoric?
No. It's fine to be pleased about hearty returns on your investments. But it's not a good idea to tie your emotions closely to the ups and downs of the stock market. You'll get tired fast. This market moment comes on the heels of last year's nosedive. And it's not the first or last time the stock market will make a dramatic move.
So what happened?
It's more about what happened last year. Many of the concerns that triggered that plunge towards the end of last have largely been quelled. The US and China are slowly moving toward a trade agreement. The Federal Reserve has indicated it likely will not raise rates at all in 2019 after seven recent increases. And those changes, along with some strong earnings reports and broader healthy economic indicators, have fueled some optimism in stock markets.
"The panic in the fourth quarter was based mostly on fears," says Brent Schutte, chief investment strategist for Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. "The fundamentals have mostly held up, while the fears have gone away and the fears were based mostly on emotion."
Should I buy? Should I sell?
Maybe. It depends on what your long-term investment plan is. The best advice is usually the same no matter the day — determine your financial goals, make a plan to reach them and stick to it.
"I would encourage (investors) not to overreact to highs, just as I would encourage them not to overreact to the lows of December," Mr Schutte says.
All the same, there are some situations in which you should consider taking action. If you think you can't live through another low like last year, the time to get out is now. If the balance of assets in your portfolio is out of whack thanks to the rise of the stock market, make adjustments. And if you need your money in the next five to 10 years, it shouldn't be in stocks anyhow. But for most people, it's also a good time to just leave things be.
Resist the urge to abandon the diversification of your portfolio, Mr Schutte cautions. It may be tempting to shed other investments that aren't performing as well, such as some international stocks, but diversification is designed to help steady your performance over time.
Will the rally last?
No one knows for sure. But David Bailin, chief investment officer at Citi Private Bank, expects the US market could move up 5 per cent to 7 per cent more over the next nine to 12 months, provided the Fed doesn't raise rates and earnings growth exceeds current expectations. We are in a late cycle market, a period when US equities have historically done very well, but volatility also rises, he says.
"This phase can last six months to several years, but it's important clients remain invested and not try to prematurely position for a contraction of the market," Mr Bailin says. "Doing so would risk missing out on important portfolio returns."
Specs
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England's all-time record goalscorers:
Wayne Rooney 53
Bobby Charlton 49
Gary Lineker 48
Jimmy Greaves 44
Michael Owen 40
Tom Finney 30
Nat Lofthouse 30
Alan Shearer 30
Viv Woodward 29
Frank Lampard 29
Zakat definitions
Zakat: an Arabic word meaning ‘to cleanse’ or ‘purification’.
Nisab: the minimum amount that a Muslim must have before being obliged to pay zakat. Traditionally, the nisab threshold was 87.48 grams of gold, or 612.36 grams of silver. The monetary value of the nisab therefore varies by current prices and currencies.
Zakat Al Mal: the ‘cleansing’ of wealth, as one of the five pillars of Islam; a spiritual duty for all Muslims meeting the ‘nisab’ wealth criteria in a lunar year, to pay 2.5 per cent of their wealth in alms to the deserving and needy.
Zakat Al Fitr: a donation to charity given during Ramadan, before Eid Al Fitr, in the form of food. Every adult Muslim who possesses food in excess of the needs of themselves and their family must pay two qadahs (an old measure just over 2 kilograms) of flour, wheat, barley or rice from each person in a household, as a minimum.