A third of UK households slashed their spending during the crisis to offset the hit to their living standards. Getty Images
A third of UK households slashed their spending during the crisis to offset the hit to their living standards. Getty Images
A third of UK households slashed their spending during the crisis to offset the hit to their living standards. Getty Images
A third of UK households slashed their spending during the crisis to offset the hit to their living standards. Getty Images

Pandemic hits income of UK households harder than in France and Germany


Alice Haine
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British households have suffered a more severe income shock during the pandemic than their counterparts in France and Germany, a new study from a UK think tank showed.

People in Britain also took on more debt after job losses than residents in the two European countries, the Resolution Foundation's After Shocks report in conjunction with JP Morgan Chase found.

Meanwhile, a third of UK households slashed their spending to offset the hit to their living standards and lack of savings.

Maja Gustafsson, economist at the Resolution Foundation, said typical households across the UK, France and Germany had broadly the same income levels in the run-up to the Covid-19 crisis at €33,800 ($40,740) in France, €33,900 in the UK and €34,400 in Germany.

“Beneath this similarity lie big differences in households’ financial resilience, with UK households having fewer savings to draw down, and a far less generous benefit system to protect them in hard times,” Ms Gustafsson said.

“These holes in UK households’ financial resilience have been exposed during the Covid-19 crisis. They are far more likely to have suffered a major living standards hit than French and German households, and are far more likely to have taken on debt to cope with these financial shocks.”

Briton's economy was badly affected by the pandemic, with economic outfall contracting by almost 10 per cent last year after soaring numbers of infections led to tighter restrictions to contain the spread of Covid-19.

While unemployment rose to 5.1 per cent in the three months ending in December, it dropped to 4.9 per cent in February this year as UK Finance Minister Rishi Sunak's furlough scheme, which has supported 11.2 million jobs during the crisis, helped to prevent the figure from escalating.

The Resolution Foundation said before the crisis started, the UK’s poorest households earned 20 per cent less than those in a similar position in France, while the Britain’s social security and private savings safety nets were far weaker than both France and Germany.

While UK households were as likely as those in France to suffer job losses, they went on to experience a far bigger hit to their living standards.

Among households where at least one person lost their job, 41 per cent of those in the UK suffered a severe drop in income of at least 25 per cent, twice the level in France and much higher than in Germany.

Once the economic shock from the pandemic was recognised, a third of UK households reined in their spending, far higher than the 23 per cent in France and 21 per cent in Germany that cut back expenditure.

In turn, UK households were far more likely to struggle to cover their housing and living expenses and twice as likely to take on more debt to cope financially, at 17 per cent against 9 per cent in Germany and 8 per cent in France.

The pandemic has affected UK incomes unevenly with poorer households, women and the young most likely to have suffered job loss during the pandemic.

Despite 2020 being Britain's worst economic performance in 300 years, the world's sixth-largest economy is projected to grow 5.3 per cent in 2021, the International Monetary Fund said, due in part to a highly successful vaccination programme.
The Bank of England estimate that £150 billion of excess savings by those still in work who've had few opportunities to spend because of lockdowns would help drive growth.

BoE chief economist Andy Haldane said that a “rip-roaring recovery” was possible even if only a fraction of the excess cash was spent.

The Resolution Foundation urged the country’s policymakers not to be distracted from households’ relatively weak financial resilience, which has left them much more exposed to the economic crisis than their French and German counterparts.

While the UK’s vaccination programme has been far more successful than France or Germany’s, the organisation warned that the uneven effects of the pandemic on Britain’s household finances were likely to last far longer than the pandemic itself.

The think tank said a greater proportion of lowest-income households were drawing on savings or taking on debt to support living standards compared to the highest-income households.

“Strengthening households’ financial position, particularly among low-income households, through higher savings, less reliance on debt and a benefit system providing more income protection if they fall on hard times, should be a priority as we emerge out of the current crisis,” the Resolution Foundation said.

More on the UK economy

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Classification of skills

A worker is categorised as skilled by the MOHRE based on nine levels given in the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) issued by the International Labour Organisation. 

A skilled worker would be someone at a professional level (levels 1 – 5) which includes managers, professionals, technicians and associate professionals, clerical support workers, and service and sales workers.

The worker must also have an attested educational certificate higher than secondary or an equivalent certification, and earn a monthly salary of at least Dh4,000. 

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Name: Yousef Al Bahar

Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994

Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers