Banks should resist lowering their capital adequacy ratios after the relaxation of Central Bank rules because of continuing economic uncertainty, analysts say.
This week, the regulator told banks they could significantly lower their capital-adequacy ratios, or the capital they hold to back up their lending, in the government's latest attempt to increase liquidity within the banking system and help stimulate lending.
"Those quotas should not be lowered right now in the middle of a weaker economy and as non-performing loans are still going up," said Deepak Tolani, analyst at Al Mal Capital. Freeing up reserves may spur lending but it would be safer not do it at this time, Mr Tolani said.
"One part of me says that there should not be too much capital sitting in the banks doing nothing, but the other part of me says that it should stay in the [capital reserve] bucket and put investors' worries to rest," he said.
Although freeing up reserves could boost lending and help to expand the economy, analysts say banks should remain focused on building deposits to cope with rising bad loans.
New lending has almost come to a standstill in the UAE as banks scramble to raise new deposits and reach capital requirements set by the Ministry of Finance. International funding has also been squeezed because of the global economic slowdown.
Fitch Ratings has warned the new measures could backfire by increasing uncertainty and leading to a reappraisal of the credit ratings of banks.
"While Fitch does not expect UAE banks to rush quickly towards the new minimum ratios, if any rated bank does the agency is likely to view such action negatively and may downgrade its individual rating," the ratings agency said.
The Central Bank said it took the step "in view of the existing global financial crisis which continues to adversely impact various economic sectors".
Regulators typically ask banks to set aside a specific amount of capital that can be used as a buffer in case of difficulties. There are two classes of capital that apply to the ratio: Tier 1, which usually consists of shareholders' equity and also is known as "base capital"; and Tier 2, which commonly comprises medium-term notes or syndicated loans with a maturity of more than five years.
"Seven per cent (Tier 1 capital) is more aligned to international standards," said John Tofarides, a banking analyst at the ratings agency Moody's Investors Service. "Changing the rules gives banks some leeway to increase lending.
On average, UAE banks have capital ratios of about 20 per cent, which is high when compared with other banks around the world.
In view of growing defaults, local banks have already been forced to raise their provisions. Emirates NBD, the largest lender, has warned that non-performing loans could reach 2.5 per cent of total lending next year.
Under the new directive sent to local and foreign lenders, the Central Bank said banks should set aside 7 per cent of Tier 1 capital by September 30 this year and 8 per cent by June 30 next year. Overall capital adequacy ratios must reach 11 and 12 per cent respectively.
A Ministry of Finance directive issued last October asked banks to hold 11 per cent of Tier 1 capital by the middle of this year and 12 per cent by the middle of next year if they wanted to receive support loans.
The deposits were part of various government support measures to boost bank lending after foreign investors withdrew an estimated Dh180 billion (US$49bn) from local bank deposits and stocks last year.
* with additional reporting by Tom Arnold
uharnischfeger@thenational.ae
Biography
Favourite drink: Must have karak chai and Chinese tea every day
Favourite non-Chinese food: Arabic sweets and Indian puri, small round bread of wheat flour
Favourite Chinese dish: Spicy boiled fish or anything cooked by her mother because of its flavour
Best vacation: Returning home to China
Music interests: Enjoys playing the zheng, a string musical instrument
Enjoys reading: Chinese novels, romantic comedies, reading up on business trends, government policy changes
Favourite book: Chairman Mao Zedong’s poems
If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.
How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
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Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants
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Director Ashutosh Gowariker
Produced Ashutosh Gowariker, Rohit Shelatkar, Reliance Entertainment
Cast Arjun Kapoor, Sanjay Dutt, Kriti Sanon, Mohnish Behl, Padmini Kolhapure, Zeenat Aman
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How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
The Freedom Artist
By Ben Okri (Head of Zeus)
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Bangladesh: Mushfiqur Rahim (captain), Tamim Iqbal, Soumya Sarkar, Imrul Kayes, Liton Das, Shakib Al Hasan, Mominul Haque, Nasir Hossain, Sabbir Rahman, Mehedi Hasan, Shafiul Islam, Taijul Islam, Mustafizur Rahman and Taskin Ahmed.
Australia: Steve Smith (captain), David Warner, Ashton Agar, Hilton Cartwright, Pat Cummins, Peter Handscomb, Matthew Wade, Josh Hazlewood, Usman Khawaja, Nathan Lyon, Glenn Maxwell, Matt Renshaw, Mitchell Swepson and Jackson Bird.
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Director: Siva
Stars: Suriya, Bobby Deol, Disha Patani, Yogi Babu, Redin Kingsley
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COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
WHAT IS A BLACK HOLE?
1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull
2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight
3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge
4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own
5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed
Singham Again
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Stars: Ajay Devgn, Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ranveer Singh, Akshay Kumar, Tiger Shroff, Deepika Padukone
Rating: 3/5
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