Political theatre makes a farce of India's economic policy



Over the past two days, India's politicians have vigorously debated several versions of the future. Late Wednesday evening, the Congress-led government was given a green light to go ahead with a policy allowing foreign direct investment in the retail sector.

So what was the commotion about? Is India so determined to live in the dark ages that it has to resist a modern marketplace? Or are legislators protecting the somewhat vague idea of an India in which the anachronisms of several centuries ago can live in the present day?

Sushma Swaraj, the leader of the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party, claimed a moral victory, pointing out that as many as 14 parties had spoken out against FDI (only four parties, the Congress and its allies, were in favour). Mr Swaraj insists that giants such as Walmart, with their enormous capital reserves, would destroy India's small enterprises.

The government's counterargument is that the country cannot be subservient to the "East India Company complex", referring to the British monopoly that won exclusive trade rights with India in 1699, and ended up ruling the country for 200 years. Praful Patel, the industry minister, has said - only half in jest - that the East India Company is now owned by an Indian.

The other point is that Indian food retail chains such as Bikanervala and Haldiram have had global success with their peculiar brands of sweet-and-sour snacks.

The government won the vote by 254 against 224, and really it was a foregone conclusion worked out in advance. But losing the vote would have shown Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to be even weaker than he is already perceived. What was special about the vote - apart from the inevitable horse-trading - was the repartee of politicians on every side, lifting the debate from a black-and-white, yes-or-no policy decision about boring economics to a clash of civilisations.

There was also a highly unusual political alliance between the Communist parties and right-wing parties such as the BJP and the Biju Janata Dal. Normally these parties avoid each other like the plague.

The Trinamool Congress Party, led by West Bengal's chief minister, Mamata Banerjee, also joined the opposition after abandoning the Congress Party.

For Trinamool Congress - which is said to have forsaken Congress after New Delhi refused to pay off West Bengal's debt inherited after three decades of Communist rule - it was an opportunity to settle scores with its former ally.

Even within Congress, some senior leaders opposed opening the retail sector to FDI.

On the other hand, some of the BJP's allies, such as the Shiromani Akali Dal party in Punjab, favoured FDI as recently as a year ago. On Wednesday, that party voted alongside the BJP.

The government had to win the vote, but the price was a deal with two other parties, the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party, which are fierce rivals in Uttar Pradesh (and both also rival Congress in the state). By prior agreement, both parties walked out of parliament, thereby lowering the necessary margin of victory and making it easier for Congress to swing other votes in its favour.

During the debate, Samajwadi party leader Mulayam Singh Yadav criticised the government's plans, but when the time came he walked out as he had promised. The rumour is that Mr Yadav has already demanded his pound of flesh: quashing investigations into corruption scandals, and demanding a railway line for Uttar Pradesh.

The leader of the BSP, Mayawati, appears to have her own demands: quotas for Dalits in government, and a memorial for the great Dalit leader and author of India's constitution, Bhimrao Ambedkar.

Trinamool Congress politicians have likened Congress's position to that of a patient on life support, and either Samajwadi or the BSP can pull the plug at any time.

The battle over FDI is hardly over - in the next few days, it must past muster in parliament's upper house, which is a formality after the lower house vote, but will be an opportunity for more grandstanding.

Moreover, each of India's provinces has been empowered to decide if they want to open their doors to foreign investment. As political power shifts from the centre to the states, economic power will follow.

Jyoti Malhotra is a political and foreign affairs analyst based in Delhi

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Europe’s rearming plan
  • Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
  • Create new "instrument" providing €150 billion of loans to member countries for defence investment
  • Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
  • Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
  • Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital
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Film: In Syria
Dir: Philippe Van Leeuw
Starring: Hiam Abbass, Diamand Bo Abboud, Mohsen Abbas and Juliette Navis
Verdict: Four stars

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Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, Leon.

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

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  • Dubai’s savings retirement scheme for foreign employees working in the emirate’s government and public sector came into effect in 2022.
  • National Bonds unveiled a Golden Pension Scheme in 2022 to help private-sector foreign employees with their financial planning.
  • In April 2021, Hayah Insurance unveiled a workplace savings plan to help UAE employees save for their retirement.
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Analysis

Members of Syria's Alawite minority community face threat in their heartland after one of the deadliest days in country’s recent history. Read more

WHAT IS GRAPHENE?

It was discovered in 2004, when Russian-born Manchester scientists Andrei Geim and Kostya Novoselov were experimenting with sticky tape and graphite, the material used as lead in pencils.

Placing the tape on the graphite and peeling it, they managed to rip off thin flakes of carbon. In the beginning they got flakes consisting of many layers of graphene. But when they repeated the process many times, the flakes got thinner.

By separating the graphite fragments repeatedly, they managed to create flakes that were just one atom thick. Their experiment led to graphene being isolated for the very first time.

In 2010, Geim and Novoselov were awarded the Nobel Prize for Physics. 

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Results:

Men’s wheelchair 200m T34: 1. Walid Ktila (TUN) 27.14; 2. Mohammed Al Hammadi (UAE) 27.81; 3. Rheed McCracken (AUS) 27.81.

Results

Stage Two:

1. Mark Cavendish (GBR) QuickStep-AlphaVinyl 04:20:45

2. Jasper Philipsen (BEL) Alpecin-Fenix

3. Pascal Ackermann (GER) UAE Team Emirates

4. Olav Kooij (NED) Jumbo-Visma

5. Arnaud Demare (FRA) Groupama-FDJ

General Classification:

1. Jasper Philipsen (BEL) Alpecin-Fenix 09:03:03

2. Dmitry Strakhov (RUS) Gazprom-Rusvelo 00:00:04

3. Mark Cavendish (GBR) QuickStep-AlphaVinyl 00:00:06

4. Sam Bennett (IRL) Bora-Hansgrohe 00:00:10

5. Pascal Ackermann (GER) UAE Team Emirates 00:00:12

The Sand Castle

Director: Matty Brown

Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea

Rating: 2.5/5

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