The World Economic Forum’s Summit on the Global Agenda, which begins today in the capital, has always been about more than merely economics: its subjects range across politics, society and more. The two main sources of instability in the world show this clearly: the euro-zone crisis is changing European countries in profound ways, creating social instability and political realignment.
The same is true for the Arab Spring, the continuing unfolding of which is top of the agenda at the Forum. In its outlook for 2014, the Forum argued that instability and social tensions would be the defining trend for next year. If you count the population of the five Arab Spring countries, there are currently 150 million Arabs affected by the uprisings. Add in countries like Iraq, that is still unstable, and those such as Jordan and Lebanon that have been hugely affected by the Syrian conflict and 200 million Arabs live under difficult constraints, more than half the total population of the region.
What, then, might the future hold for the Arab Spring nations? There are three important points to start with. The first is that many of the issues that underpinned the uprisings – stagnant economies, a lack of employment prospects and weak rule of law – remain in those five countries. The second is that they cannot be tackled in sequence: they must, in fiendishly complex acts of political juggling, be tackled together.
The third is that while each country was part of a common context of protests, the future challenges for each are very particular.
At one end of the spectrum is Libya, with a small population and vast energy resources, and Tunisia, a small country with a sizeable middle-class and strong ties to Europe. At the other, Yemen, a populous nation with significant poverty, and Egypt, a vast country with a bloated bureaucracy. Each of the four is struggling with security and the rebuilding of institutions – in Tunisia, the institutions are strong, in Libya non-existent.
All have opportunities – Tunisia has an educated population, Egypt a viable manufacturing sector, Yemen a strategic location, Libya energy resources – but all require a rebuilding of political authority and social harmony before they can be exploited.
Compounding the question is what, even if those could be fixed, the political trajectory would be. In countries like Tunisia and Libya (as in Iraq 10 years ago), the old political ideas and foundations were obliterated, leaving the nations to rebuild even as they rethink their political direction.
None of this is easy to do. It requires skilled politicians, navigating complex societies and delicate geopolitical balance. In Egypt, for example, rebuilding the economy comes against the background of the Arab-Israeli conflict and the American influence that emanates from this.
Thus the future economic outlook for the Arab Spring countries varies enormously. They may have commonalities, born from the cauldron of revolution, but they are likely to have very different trajectories for their recovery and development.
Straightforward ways to reduce sugar in your family's diet
- Ban fruit juice and sodas
- Eat a hearty breakfast that contains fats and wholegrains, such as peanut butter on multigrain toast or full-fat plain yoghurt with whole fruit and nuts, to avoid the need for a 10am snack
- Give young children plain yoghurt with whole fruits mashed into it
- Reduce the number of cakes, biscuits and sweets. Reserve them for a treat
- Don’t eat dessert every day
- Make your own smoothies. Always use the whole fruit to maintain the benefit of its fibre content and don’t add any sweeteners
- Always go for natural whole foods over processed, packaged foods. Ask yourself would your grandmother have eaten it?
- Read food labels if you really do feel the need to buy processed food
- Eat everything in moderation
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Jawan
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Electric scooters: some rules to remember
- Riders must be 14-years-old or over
- Wear a protective helmet
- Park the electric scooter in designated parking lots (if any)
- Do not leave electric scooter in locations that obstruct traffic or pedestrians
- Solo riders only, no passengers allowed
- Do not drive outside designated lanes
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Fixtures:
Thursday:
Hatta v Al Jazira, 4.55pm
Al Wasl v Dibba, 7.45pm
Friday:
Al Dhafra v Al Nasr, 5.05pm
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al Wahda, 7.45pm
Saturday:
Ajman v Emirates, 4.55pm
Al Ain v Sharjah, 7.45pm
SPEC%20SHEET%3A%20SAMSUNG%20GALAXY%20Z%20FOLD5
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The Perfect Couple
Starring: Nicole Kidman, Liev Schreiber, Jack Reynor
Creator: Jenna Lamia
Rating: 3/5
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Men's football draw
Group A: UAE, Spain, South Africa, Jamaica
Group B: Bangladesh, Serbia, Korea
Group C: Bharat, Denmark, Kenya, USA
Group D: Oman, Austria, Rwanda
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
Bahrain%20GP
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Israel Palestine on Swedish TV 1958-1989
Director: Goran Hugo Olsson
Rating: 5/5
BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE
Starring: Winona Ryder, Michael Keaton, Jenny Ortega
Director: Tim Burton
Rating: 3/5
How Islam's view of posthumous transplant surgery changed
Transplants from the deceased have been carried out in hospitals across the globe for decades, but in some countries in the Middle East, including the UAE, the practise was banned until relatively recently.
Opinion has been divided as to whether organ donations from a deceased person is permissible in Islam.
The body is viewed as sacred, during and after death, thus prohibiting cremation and tattoos.
One school of thought viewed the removal of organs after death as equally impermissible.
That view has largely changed, and among scholars and indeed many in society, to be seen as permissible to save another life.
The specs
Engine: 3.0-litre twin-turbo flat-six
Power: 480hp at 6,500rpm
Torque: 570Nm from 2,300-5,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch auto
Fuel consumption: 10.4L/100km
Price: from Dh547,600
On sale: now