The new US administration’s economic policies will promote growth, the head of Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund has told the World Economic Forum in Switzerland.
Speaking in Davos, Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Mubadala’s managing director and chief executive, said that the US, where President Donald Trump has announced a swathe of measures to cut regulation, would lure in investors.
However, the head of the World Trade Organisation (WTO), Dr Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, told delegates that a trade war “would not benefit anyone”, even though Mr Trump has spoken of imposing heavy tariffs on imports. In a session titled Finding Growth in Uncertain Times, Mr Al Mubarak said that when Mubadala looked for growth, its primary focus was on Asia and the United States.
“There’s a clear strategy that the US is embarking on – and that will spur growth in the US. And it will make it very attractive for investors,” he said. “Asia, I think continues to be a very important continent for growth.”
Mr Al Mubarak said that Mubadala and the UAE were committed to “heavy investment in the AI enablement space”. “We're looking at that, and that will spur growth in the UAE and, more importantly in this case, globally,” he said. “And the US will be a massive area for growth in [AI]. I expect the same in Asia and I expect us to follow these pathways.”
Børge Brende, a former Norwegian foreign minister and the World Economic Forum’s president and chief executive, said current global growth levels of around 3.3 per cent were “not bad”, but trailed the average over the previous three decades of close to four per cent.
For US growth it was important that Mr Trump’s plans for tax cuts and reductions in regulation were implemented quickly, according to David Rubenstein, co-founder and chairman of the private equity firm Carlyle. He too thought that Mr Trump’s regulatory changes would have a positive impact.
“He has a big agenda for changing regulations and other things that, I think, will spur economic growth,” Mr Rubenstein said.
Resolving conflicts is key
Conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine were key impediments to global growth, according to Mr Rubenstein, but if progress is made on these, economic growth is likely to “do quite well around the world”.
Dr Okonjo-Iweala warned, though, that there would be no winners if the introduction of tariffs sparked a trade war. She said “openness of markets” was key because “this has delivered for us”.
“I don’t want a tariff war. It will not benefit really anyone – the US or the rest of the world. It’s going to be inflationary,” she said. “In spite of all the challenges and the risks of protectionism, trade has been largely resilient. Eighty per cent of world goods trade is taking place under the WTO’s most-favoured nation status. This is a situation the world needs to preserve.”
She said that despite Mr Trump’s having signed a slew of executive orders in his first day in office, he had yet to impose any heavy tariffs with trading partners, so his actions so far were “encouraging”. Dr Okonjo-Iweala said several factors were necessary for global growth to increase, including macroeconomic stability and fiscal consolidation, as deficits were “getting quite high”.
Diversifying supply chains, something she said the European Union was promoting, would create jobs and reduce the need for people to migrate, she added.
At Eternity’s Gate
Director: Julian Schnabel
Starring: Willem Dafoe, Oscar Isaacs, Mads Mikkelsen
Three stars
Brief scores:
Huesca 0
Real Madrid 1
Bale 8'
Pros%20and%20cons%20of%20BNPL
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EPros%3C%2Fstrong%3E%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cul%3E%0A%3Cli%3EEasy%20to%20use%20and%20require%20less%20rigorous%20credit%20checks%20than%20traditional%20credit%20options%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EOffers%20the%20ability%20to%20spread%20the%20cost%20of%20purchases%20over%20time%2C%20often%20interest-free%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EConvenient%20and%20can%20be%20integrated%20directly%20into%20the%20checkout%20process%2C%20useful%20for%20online%20shopping%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EHelps%20facilitate%20cash%20flow%20planning%20when%20used%20wisely%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3C%2Ful%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECons%3C%2Fstrong%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cul%3E%0A%3Cli%3EThe%20ease%20of%20making%20purchases%20can%20lead%20to%20overspending%20and%20accumulation%20of%20debt%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EMissing%20payments%20can%20result%20in%20hefty%20fees%20and%2C%20in%20some%20cases%2C%20high%20interest%20rates%20after%20an%20initial%20interest-free%20period%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EFailure%20to%20make%20payments%20can%20impact%20credit%20score%20negatively%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3ERefunds%20can%20be%20complicated%20and%20delayed%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3C%2Ful%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cem%3ECourtesy%3A%20Carol%20Glynn%3C%2Fem%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg
Roger Federer's 2018 record
Australian Open Champion
Rotterdam Champion
Indian Wells Runner-up
Miami Second round
Stuttgart Champion
Halle Runner-up
Wimbledon Quarter-finals
Cincinnati Runner-up
US Open Fourth round
Shanghai Semi-finals
Basel Champion
Paris Masters Semi-finals
SCORES IN BRIEF
Lahore Qalandars 186 for 4 in 19.4 overs
(Sohail 100,Phil Salt 37 not out, Bilal Irshad 30, Josh Poysden 2-26)
bt Yorkshire Vikings 184 for 5 in 20 overs
(Jonathan Tattersall 36, Harry Brook 37, Gary Ballance 33, Adam Lyth 32, Shaheen Afridi 2-36).
Match info
Champions League quarter-final, first leg
Liverpool v Porto, Tuesday, 11pm (UAE)
Matches can be watched on BeIN Sports
RESULTS
5pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (Dirt) 1,400m
Winner AF Nashrah, Tadhg O’Shea (jockey), Ernst Oertel (trainer)
5.30pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,400m
Winner Mutaqadim, Riccardo Iacopini, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami.
6pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner Hameem, Jose Santiago, Abdallah Al Hammadi.
6.30pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner AF Almomayaz, Sandro Paiva, Ali Rashid Al Raihe.
7pm Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,800m
Winner Dalil Al Carrere, Fernando Jara, Mohamed Daggash.
7.30pm Handicap (TB) Dh70,000 (D) 1,000m
Winner Lahmoom, Royston Ffrench, Salem bin Ghadayer.
8pm Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,000m
Winner Jayide Al Boraq, Bernardo Pinheiro, Khalifa Al Neyadi.
Dengue%20fever%20symptoms
%3Cp%3EHigh%20fever%20(40%C2%B0C%2F104%C2%B0F)%3Cbr%3ESevere%20headache%3Cbr%3EPain%20behind%20the%20eyes%3Cbr%3EMuscle%20and%20joint%20pains%3Cbr%3ENausea%3Cbr%3EVomiting%3Cbr%3ESwollen%20glands%3Cbr%3ERash%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Brief scores:
Manchester City 2
Gundogan 27', De Bruyne 85'
Crystal Palace 3
Schlupp 33', Townsend 35', Milivojevic 51' (pen)
Man of the Match: Andros Townsend (Crystal Palace)
The five pillars of Islam
UAE Rugby finals day
Games being played at The Sevens, Dubai
2pm, UAE Conference final
Dubai Tigers v Al Ain Amblers
4pm, UAE Premiership final
Abu Dhabi Harlequins v Jebel Ali Dragons