When even the ministry of electricity and water suffers a blackout, you know there is a problem.
As Kuwait's grid reached 99 per cent of capacity recently, fires broke out in transformers and working hours were cut.
It is not only Kuwait that is suffering. Recent weeks have brought nothing but bad news for the Gulf's gas and power sector: not just isolated incidents but a sign something is badly wrong.
In May and June, Sharjah was plagued by power cuts, even after the emirate had sharply raised electricity prices. A 90-minute outage in Jeddah grounded planes at King Abdul Aziz International Airport.
Most dramatically, with power available for only a few hours a day in temperatures soaring to 50°C, Iraqi protesters took to the streets in Basra. Two people were killed by police and the electricity minister Karim Waheed offered his resignation.
Iran faces the opposite problem: if a cold winter strikes, as last year, it may encounter gas shortages again.
There was bad news on the supply side, too. ConocoPhillips decided in April to walk away from its joint venture to develop "sour" gas reserves at Shah in Abu Dhabi, laden with toxic hydrogen sulphide. Shell, an original contender, is now playing hard to get, potentially leaving the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to tackle the project alone.
On June 10, the UK-based gas company BG Group cancelled plans to develop difficult "tight" gas reservoirs at Oman's Abu Butabul block. And five days later Russia's Lukoil gave up 90 per cent of its exploration area in Saudi Arabia to concentrate on two challenging gas finds it had made there.
These problems call into serious question the Middle East's gas and power model, originally founded on the region's large, low-cost hydrocarbon reserves and relatively small populations.
It features cheap, subsidised gas, water and electricity prices, little attention to energy efficiency and a rapid build-up of gas-based industries. Gas and electricity production and distribution are mostly or entirely handled by the state. And countries aim to be self-sufficient, with little dependence on their neighbours. It is now time to accept that all the components of this model are failing.
Fast-growing populations and booming economies have dramatically increased demand, causing UAE electricity consumption to rise almost 10 per cent annually in the decade to 2008. The Gulf still has vast gas reserves but these are not as cheap as they once were.
Regional gas prices are set far below the cost of new supplies. With this pricing regime, new gas developments are uneconomic and every attempt to invite foreign expertise and investment ends in protracted wrangling.
At the same time, these low prices contribute to explosive growth in demand. Successful new petrochemical initiatives cease to be about world-class operations or seizing market opportunities and degenerate into clever lobbying to secure limited rations of new gas.
Wasteful energy use contributes to the world's highest carbon footprints and leaves Saudi Arabia in particular in the diplomatically uncomfortable spot of defending the indefensible at UN climate negotiations.
The Gulf is still not making the most of the international gas industry's expertise.
Qatar has led the way in forging wide-ranging and durable partnerships with the supermajors to create its world-leading liquefied natural gas (LNG) business. Oman and Bahrain have brought in companies such as BP, Occidental and Abu Dhabi's Mubadala Development, while Shell is in the early stages of work in Kuwait and Iraq.
Although Saudi Aramco has upped its gas game in the past decade, limited exploration in the Rub' al Khali has been disappointing and in Iran, sanctions and domestic politics combine to hobble gas exports. The surge in North American "unconventional" gas output, now spreading to Europe, Australia and China, has not yet been repeated in the Gulf.
Regional gas trade remains in its infancy with the Dolphin pipeline from Qatar to the UAE and Oman the only operating project. Saudi policy avoids the import or export of gas, importing states such as Bahrain, Oman and the UAE remain unwilling to pay competitive prices, Iraqi politics are deadlocked and Iran is unable to come to a decision on exports.
Yet Kuwait and Dubai are ready to import more expensive LNG. The ridiculous result, a modern version of bringing coals to Newcastle, is that LNG tankers leaving Abu Dhabi en route to Japan pass within hailing distance of similar vessels bringing the gas from eastern Russia to Kuwait.
As for electricity generation, several countries have made progress towards independent power and water producers. But overall control remains in the hands of state-owned, integrated utility companies. In some cases these are struggling to keep up and, embarrassingly, Kuwait finds itself in last place, behind Nigeria, in the Power Business Environment rating. It is issued by Business Monitor International and is intended to measure the attractiveness of investing in a country's power sector.
A massive injection of resources and huge, state-backed spending to build a new generation of oil-fired power plants might solve the immediate problem. But the issue will return again in a few years. The region must not allow itself to become trapped in a Soviet-style spiral of ever-growing investments to postpone a crisis inherent in the system itself.
The alternative is market liberalisation and a progressive end to energy subsidies, providing incentives to both state-owned and international companies to discover and develop new gas sources, introducing alternative energy such as nuclear and solar power and taking decisive action to transform the region's calamitous energy inefficiency.
Robin M Mills is an energy economist based in Dubai and author of The Myth of the Oil Crisis
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The Penguin
Starring: Colin Farrell, Cristin Milioti, Rhenzy Feliz
Creator: Lauren LeFranc
Rating: 4/5
More from Neighbourhood Watch:
MATCH INFO:
Second Test
Pakistan v Australia, Tuesday-Saturday, 10am daily at Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Entrance is free
Earth under attack: Cosmic impacts throughout history
- 4.5 billion years ago: Mars-sized object smashes into the newly-formed Earth, creating debris that coalesces to form the Moon
- 66 million years ago: 10km-wide asteroid crashes into the Gulf of Mexico, wiping out over 70 per cent of living species – including the dinosaurs.
- 50,000 years ago: 50m-wide iron meteor crashes in Arizona with the violence of 10 megatonne hydrogen bomb, creating the famous 1.2km-wide Barringer Crater
- 1490: Meteor storm over Shansi Province, north-east China when large stones “fell like rain”, reportedly leading to thousands of deaths.
- 1908: 100-metre meteor from the Taurid Complex explodes near the Tunguska river in Siberia with the force of 1,000 Hiroshima-type bombs, devastating 2,000 square kilometres of forest.
- 1998: Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 breaks apart and crashes into Jupiter in series of impacts that would have annihilated life on Earth.
-2013: 10,000-tonne meteor burns up over the southern Urals region of Russia, releasing a pressure blast and flash that left over 1600 people injured.
'Doctor Strange in the Multiverse Of Madness'
Director: Sam Raimi
Cast: Benedict Cumberbatch, Elizabeth Olsen, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Benedict Wong, Xochitl Gomez, Michael Stuhlbarg and Rachel McAdams
Rating: 3/5
Company%20profile
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How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
The specs: 2018 Jaguar E-Pace First Edition
Price, base / as tested: Dh186,480 / Dh252,735
Engine: 2.0-litre four-cylinder
Power: 246hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 365Nm @ 1,200rpm
Transmission: Nine-speed automatic
Fuel consumption, combined: 7.7L / 100km
Company Profile
Name: Thndr
Started: 2019
Co-founders: Ahmad Hammouda and Seif Amr
Sector: FinTech
Headquarters: Egypt
UAE base: Hub71, Abu Dhabi
Current number of staff: More than 150
Funds raised: $22 million
Company%20Profile
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The Buckingham Murders
Starring: Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ash Tandon, Prabhleen Sandhu
Director: Hansal Mehta
Rating: 4 / 5
If you go...
Flying
There is no simple way to get to Punta Arenas from the UAE, with flights from Dubai and Abu Dhabi requiring at least two connections to reach this part of Patagonia. Flights start from about Dh6,250.
Touring
Chile Nativo offers the amended Los Dientes trek with expert guides and porters who are met in Puerto Williams on Isla Navarino. The trip starts and ends in Punta Arenas and lasts for six days in total. Prices start from Dh8,795.
THE SIXTH SENSE
Starring: Bruce Willis, Toni Collette, Hayley Joel Osment
Director: M. Night Shyamalan
Rating: 5/5
Greatest of All Time
Starring: Vijay, Sneha, Prashanth, Prabhu Deva, Mohan
AndhaDhun
Director: Sriram Raghavan
Producer: Matchbox Pictures, Viacom18
Cast: Ayushmann Khurrana, Tabu, Radhika Apte, Anil Dhawan
Rating: 3.5/5
Spider-Man%202
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDeveloper%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Insomniac%20Games%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPublisher%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%20Sony%20Interactive%20Entertainment%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EConsole%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EPlayStation%205%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%205%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The%20specs%3A%20Taycan%20Turbo%20GT
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEngine%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EDual%20synchronous%20electric%20motors%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPower%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E1%2C108hp%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETorque%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E1%2C340Nm%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETransmission%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ESingle-speed%20automatic%20(front%20axle)%3B%20two-speed%20transmission%20(rear%20axle)%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETouring%20range%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E488-560km%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFrom%20Dh928%2C400%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EOn%20sale%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EOrders%20open%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
UAE v Gibraltar
What: International friendly
When: 7pm kick off
Where: Rugby Park, Dubai Sports City
Admission: Free
Online: The match will be broadcast live on Dubai Exiles’ Facebook page
UAE squad: Lucas Waddington (Dubai Exiles), Gio Fourie (Exiles), Craig Nutt (Abu Dhabi Harlequins), Phil Brady (Harlequins), Daniel Perry (Dubai Hurricanes), Esekaia Dranibota (Harlequins), Matt Mills (Exiles), Jaen Botes (Exiles), Kristian Stinson (Exiles), Murray Reason (Abu Dhabi Saracens), Dave Knight (Hurricanes), Ross Samson (Jebel Ali Dragons), DuRandt Gerber (Exiles), Saki Naisau (Dragons), Andrew Powell (Hurricanes), Emosi Vacanau (Harlequins), Niko Volavola (Dragons), Matt Richards (Dragons), Luke Stevenson (Harlequins), Josh Ives (Dubai Sports City Eagles), Sean Stevens (Saracens), Thinus Steyn (Exiles)
SWEET%20TOOTH
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TRAP
Starring: Josh Hartnett, Saleka Shyamalan, Ariel Donaghue
Director: M Night Shyamalan
Rating: 3/5
More from UAE Human Development Report:
EMERGENCY PHONE NUMBERS
Estijaba – 8001717 – number to call to request coronavirus testing
Ministry of Health and Prevention – 80011111
Dubai Health Authority – 800342 – The number to book a free video or voice consultation with a doctor or connect to a local health centre
Emirates airline – 600555555
Etihad Airways – 600555666
Ambulance – 998
Knowledge and Human Development Authority – 8005432 ext. 4 for Covid-19 queries
The cost of Covid testing around the world
Egypt
Dh514 for citizens; Dh865 for tourists
Information can be found through VFS Global.
Jordan
Dh212
Centres include the Speciality Hospital, which now offers drive-through testing.
Cambodia
Dh478
Travel tests are managed by the Ministry of Health and National Institute of Public Health.
Zanzibar
AED 295
Zanzibar Public Health Emergency Operations Centre, located within the Lumumba Secondary School compound.
Abu Dhabi
Dh85
Abu Dhabi’s Seha has test centres throughout the UAE.
UK
From Dh400
Heathrow Airport now offers drive through and clinic-based testing, starting from Dh400 and up to Dh500 for the PCR test.
KINGDOM%20OF%20THE%20PLANET%20OF%20THE%20APES
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Wes%20Ball%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Owen%20Teague%2C%20Freya%20Allen%2C%20Kevin%20Durand%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E3.5%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Israel Palestine on Swedish TV 1958-1989
Director: Goran Hugo Olsson
Rating: 5/5